Tuesday, September 04, 2007

Limits

N R2K 789.74 - 793.70
N GLD 66.45 - 67.26
N QQQQ 48.66 - 49.41(49.56)
N SPX 1469.40 - 1478.46 (1480.3,1483.22)
O TSX 14114.38 - 13906.11
Investrors Nothing New Doing, So nobody Forgets where we came from. ON Jul17 We Sold Market( bought QID 0 Cents from bottom) and on 16 August we grabbed everything we could to go long. Notice Two Extreme days, like a clock work. So, for all big bears we are, In a big picture. folks we are still LONG!

Dear Waldo, 49.40 may have been an excellent attempt possibility, but it has passed now, as we rebounded. Risk would have been couple cents now it is higher. I posted next Q level just so you know.

10:11 ET YEN/GOLD all are close to initial exhaustion


Dear Cobbense, in his comment marvels about gold being higher in All currencies and $US being higher than other currencies. Well we said this will happen month(s) ago and people, could not say it to me straight, but thought I went nuts. Gold And $US going higher together?. Now you see this is possible...
But enjoy the wonder for few more hours/days as $US tops and self destructs in Sep, which we predicted for ages, in the face of the entire world being bearish on $. My God, How soon People forget.

10:34 ET Selling Q at .40 may not be the same bargain it looked this morning. Need to approach with care, high risk now

10:47 ET Watch QID carefully at 42.26 you may want to risk 2-5 cents Coffee Money, only, to buy IT - SELL THE MARKET. Do not talk to me if you risk more than 10 cents under any circumstances.

10:50 ET JPY 116.43 TOP/BOTTOM, watch if held, they maybe ready to release this DOG off leash, things could be progressing too well/fast, even for Bernanke and Paulsen here.

11:27 ET Bought QID, stop at 42.24 2 cents from break even
11:41 Do not Relax Stops, Be alert, keep it Mental.
11:43 Going For Break Even 42:26, whatever is yours, Mental
11:46 Do not want to see loss, Remember "Thou Shalt Not Lose Money" is our first rule. And "never regret possible gains" is the second.
11:54 Stops Go up for 2 C profit. No ifs and buts, mental,not so mental stop is at 42.22 and there is no argument there. You are out wihtout even blinking for a second, or we do not talk.
12:04 Stops Go UP 7C profit, No ifs and buts, just doit...
12:07 those who have money stand at breakeven. those with little capital stops go up to 42.33,mental
12:15 those with little capital stops up 42.35. Rest stay breakeven
12:16 those with little capital, big position( no no, but if you are) take profits on 1/2 of the positions at 42.50
12:17 all stops go up to 42.35, nobody stays below.
12:29 those who want to cheat, 42.29 is max. that is it for all
12:40 12.29 is the last stand for all but the richest bastards among us.
there is no,little room to maneuver here. 42.22 is the finals stop no matter who you are.
12:51 Any new Lows here, absolute No No, Hear Me, absolute No No, we/all are out 42.22. No cheating not swearing nothing will work here. If you do not comply I will bring the compliance police in(: :)
13:01, Now, all stops are at break even, mine at 42.26 and there is no negotiation room left here. None, I am never going to negotiate beyond the double bottom. That is it. Not even watching or mental or whatever, just place the stop in and go have a nice day or week or month, depending how this turns out.
13:22 I am out at 42.26 break even and so should be all at their own breakeven as their purchases should have been all below 42.26, which is what I suggested (limit buying below 42.26). So, some of us lost Less than the Coffee money, some made pretty good money selling at 42.50 and some had a good experience trading selling between 42.35 and 42.29. As you can see we work hard not to lose. We could not care less how much money we make. We know we will as long as we do not lose. I hope this is good enough of an example to make you a good trader in life, cause if you do not internalize what has gone here, you are going to have hard life as a trader. I hope that is not the case. Now, you may ask what about if the market turns around the crashes. Well, remember our second rule "Never Regret Profits You could Have Made". That is it. Again, I can not emphasize this more than I already did. Those who have difficulty living with this mentality, please leave the trading before it destroys your life.

2:45 ET Q's are approaching the 49.81 the resistance level that could stop it. I do not advice too much risk here, but if you can risk 2-5 c only it could be profitable.

Jim Taylor, JD said...
Hi Boris, Hi Jim,
Approaching Resistance:13457
2638.5
9703 NYSE
1492.5
SHORT AT: 2025 (45 SQ) NDX100 Jim

15:00 I find the cluster approached ( described by JIM ) as a next possibility for selling. Since I am not giving the protection details, I am not announcin the sell signal ( which frankly we do not yet have). That does not mean selling here will not work, it just means that We would not be selling as it requires more risk than we are ready to take for our readers at this stage. $10 -15 risks do not cut at this juncture.

mlytle said...
Hi Boris and all ..I have my hourly candle volume charts up and the volume is definitely dryng up on this rally, PVO is tanking......"down" as a possibility is looking better...Mark

15:54 ET I would not like new commers to get confused here. Our outlook "October 21 Again" is still calling for move up into Sept 19. And techincally, in an intermediate term picture we are long... There is no ifs and buts about this. So , why are we shorting today, cause we like to short the markets. This is our sport. Please keep picture of investors and traders apart and the picture for traders has intermediate and short term components. No confusion here, I hope

31 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hi Boris
I noticed your high today is about the same as the 62% fib---1485 or so

LAG

boris said...

Dear LagScrew, Welcom,
Looks Interesting and strange.
Thanks and Regards,

Good Trading

waldo said...

Good Morning Boris, I am waiting to short the q's. Will you post it for us when it is time to short? Thank you for a great blog.

boris said...

Dear Waldo, I hope it comes at convenient time. I will only post "sure" trades , if there is such, but warn about possible others.

Good Morning to you as well and
Good Trading

cobbense said...

Note that:

Gold is up more in EUR than in USD for the day, and -

XAUEUR is just now right at the important psychological level of 500 eur/oz., a level not seen since May.

Regards,

boris said...

Dear Cobbense, So astute, for you to point out. Yet, we said that is what will happen soon, almost month ago. Dollar and Gold going together higher and People could not say it straight, but thougth we went NUTS!

Good Trading

Anonymous said...

Anyone

Didnt the banks have to report positions on CDO's ect. the end of Aug

Havent heard anything about that now

LAG

Unknown said...

N QQQQ 48.66 - 49.41(48.56)

should be 49.56 i think boris

jeffrey

boris said...

Dear Lagscrew, I am interesed too.
Since I read no news, almost, I rely on my friends here to update me from time to time(: :).

Yes, please tell us if you know.

Good Trading

boris said...

Dear JEffery, You are so alert and correct, Kudos.

Thanks and stand corrected

Good Trading

waldo said...

Thank you Boris for update. FXY setting right on 20 day on daily chart. Has been above 20 day since first week in july. The question is will it hold the 20 day.

boris said...

Dear Waldo, look at the update in the post.

GOod Trading

Anonymous said...

Boris

saw on another blog that BANKS should be giving some info the next few days on the situation from August

LAG

Sqroot said...

Yesterday the costs of borrowing money in a three-month time frame hit a ten year high in England. The interbank rate for three-month sterling hit 6.74, according to the Times of London.

chronictown said...

Qid low! 42.23 "just a cup of coffee!"

Alexander "The G.R.E.A.T." Alperovich said...

Boris,

Is your color RED (sell the market) in the sentence below means - RED (market Down) :-)

10:47 ET Watch QID carefully at 42.26 you may want to risk 2-5 cents Coffee Money, only, to buy IT - SELL THE MARKET. Do not talk to me if you risk more than 10 cents under any circumstances.

boris said...

Dear Alexander, BUY QID means SELL MARKET twice, cause QID is DOUBLE INVERSE OF QQQQ

GOod Trading

Alexander "The G.R.E.A.T." Alperovich said...

Thank you, Boris for give us a right time to sell so we all will make (twice as more )money.

Alexander

boris said...

Dear Alexander "The Great", god I like this name.

Listen, go not get carried away. If you are in the position, treat this as a serious business matter and keep stops as told.

Good Trading

Alexander "The G.R.E.A.T." Alperovich said...

Thank you Boris

mlytle said...

Hi Boris,
looks like a small zig-zag up, is indeed completing against 62% retrace..does look like a some kind of pullback here is possible..not making any statements of duration or severity..I'm not seeing lots of negative divergence on 60 minutes which doesn't give bears a lot of hope...

mlytle

boris said...

Dear Mark ( Mlytle) good to hear from you.

Well, that is kind of a thing that is telling us. Let us see . If we can turn this QID trade into something bigger.

Believe or not this how the other trade, buy QID 40.63 on 17 Jul has devloped. It looked innocent at first and then It go the momentum.
Hope is not substitute for discipline and we take this short position with a greate protection and not much expectation. Just see
what develops.

Good Trading

Jim Taylor, JD said...

Hi Boris,

Approaching Resistance:

13457
2638.5
9703 NYSE
1492.5

SHORT AT: 2025 (45 SQ) NDX100

Jim

mlytle said...

Hi Boris and all ..
I have my hourly candle volume charts up and the volume is definitely dryng up on this rally, PVO is tanking......"down" as a possibility is looking better...

Mark

John G. Black said...

For what it's worth, it appears that SPX may top around 1497.50 give or take a little.

However, the pull back from here probably will not go much below 1455 +/- 5.

Who knows. There is a lot of pressure on managers to buy...they were sure it was going down in September, now that may not be right.

John

mlytle said...

All,

normal Zig-zag calculations on $NDX would give following targets where wave "C" = wave "A" in each case..

for the near sequence of 1899.24 you would get a target of 2034.82

for the longer and larger zigzag up from 1805.66 you would get an A=C target of 2054.96

all cautions apply....

Good luck all...

John G. Black said...

BTW

Do not short GOOG...this looks like it might run to 600

John B

boris said...

Dear John B, Good To hear from you.
GOod Trading

Unknown said...

Dear Boris,
Thanks for all you do here, especially for the pressure gages. This rally off the lows sure looks overbought (especially Tech), and the volume has been pathetically low on the entire rally off the lows. I wonder how long this can continue? Could it last into Sept. 19 without any sizeable down leg? Anxious to see what the gages say tomorrow...

Regards,

Unknown said...

sept. 5th AM post
Shalom Boris and all
overseas markets are lower as i write (1:30AM mountain time usa) as are usa futures a bit--sure does seem like a good day for the start of that retracement now that some pundits who have been calling for same are turning neutral or bullish--perhaps a lower opening and little chance for the "little guy" traders to get short.
jeffrey

boris said...

Dear Blaine, Dear Jeffrey,
Thanks for you contributions. Retrospectively looking yesterday was a "reasonable" day to short and we tried. I can not though recommend big risk trades online. There are too many little guys that can not take that. Bigger ones can interpret what we give anyway they want. Still we shell see what comes out of the Gages today.

Make decisions accordingly.

Remember, could have , should have does not work here.

There is a rule # 2 "never regret possible gains"

There is a train coming down every day, almost for good traders. Most important is to be directionally correct.

Good Trading