N QQQQ 50.20 ( 49.00) - 51.00(51.35)
N SPX 1450(1434) - 1463( 1474)
N QID 39.35(38.08) - 40.59 ( 42.70)
10:21 ET, In spite of surge in YEN, very sharp reversal is taking place in USDollar. Especially this is visible against CAnadian Dollar, British Pound and EURO. Carry-trade currencies YEN/CHF are acting otherwise, which is what pressures the stocks. I am still reluctant to buy this market, even though there could plenty of opportunity for those who want to do so, just look at the limits and the FIB retracments of AUGUST rally. They are very visible in all instruments, INDU/SPX/Q etc.
Jim Taylor, JD said...
Hi Boris,Staying Short.Looking for a bounce at:
Hi Jim, good to hear from you, You have
nice weekend as well
12769 (113 sq)DOW
2601 (51 sq )NAZ
2025 (45 sq)NDX100
Have a nice weekend.Jim
12:58 ET, GOLD is watching the last three days and is so Oblivious and lifeless to all the events taking place, even as Dollar plunged GOLD could not make any more progress... Is this telling you something? I think it is telling you what I told you before, that before/at this weekend the Dollar will come alive and put a scare in all ANTI-DOLLAR shorts. Unfortunately this will be short lived for DOLLAR itself, but GOLD could see considerable trouble next few days. It acts like it too so far.
19 comments:
Boris
The fibs that box the SPX right now are 1440 and 1492
The IWM are 77.8 and 76.05
are these correct or close ?
this may help the rest of you who dont have them they have been right on lately
Lag
Dear Lag,
NDX fibs
1982(62%) 2035(50%)2088(40%)
SPX
1450(62) 1475(50) 1498(40)
Thanks for the rest Lag,
Good Trading
The question? Are they going to do the usual 2 rally to drive the shorts out?
old john
What is scary is trin is 60 with dow down 160
Boris, Lag,
thanx
old john
Boris,
I picked up some small positions in the USD against the CAD and AUD a couple days back. What do you think of their near term performance, say over the next week or 2?
Jason
Dear Jason,
Even though Dollar is under assault and will continue to be for next 1-3 months, I think we are closer of Dollar getting strong against the commodity currencies than we are against none commodity currencies ( such as YEN CHF).
With small positions you should be OK for the resto of the next week ( I hope), but even if we are wrong, if the position is small, I would suggest that you add to your CAD shorts as we go into FEB/MAR next year. What will happen is that the world will slow down and the biggest hit will be taken by commodity coutnies and currencies ( NZD,CAD, AUD , BRL , GBP etc)
Meanwhile do not foreget DOLLAR is in trouble for all this period into FEB/MAarch 2008
GOod Trading
Spx has not closed below it's 50 Week MA since July 06, right after Goldman Sachs took over the country, er, I mean Paulson became Treasury Secretary.
1471 is current 50W MA.
FWIW
Daveo
Hi Boris,
Staying Short.
Looking for a bounce at:
12769 (113 sq)DOW
2601 (51 sq )NAZ
2025 (45 sq)NDX100
Have a nice weekend.
Jim
High Boris. Jim's and the invisible JD's numbers are close to mine... I think 12850 we bottom.
Looks like the major index have put in a double bottom on intra-day charts. I am looking for them to close the am gap down if the intra-day highs are taken out here shortly.
Dear Dave Thanks for the input.
Good Trading
Dear SQROOT, thanks for your input as well,
Good Trading
Dear Jason, DITTO!
GOod Trding
Boris, if dollar gets stronger will that cause oil to sell off? I would like to short the XLE. what is your opinion. Thank you, Waldo.
Boris,
Why is the Euro not selling off with the rest of the group?
Thanks,
Paul
Dear Paul,
The EURO has lost a point from the high of today.
Surely that is part of the USDollar turnaround. EURO has a big part in USDollar basket, so it is hard for USDOllar to invert without EURO having some to contribute to it.
GOod Trading
Dear Waldo,
If you are fast, that is fine with me. You need to be fast and precise, as you may only have till 16 Nov to do what you want todo as the USDollar returns to miserable self.
Good Trading
Waldo sent me this
check this guy out as he is very good at long term
http://www.safehaven.com/showarticle.cfm?id=8789&pv=1
Lag
Boris, do we get a black Monday? The market closed significantly weak, but all the indices held their lows, except the NDX.
So, could this also be a short-term bottom, as the pressure gauges could likely signal a buy?
It is crazy now.
Dear Blaine,
We caould get a black Monday, we definitely could.
Good Trading
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