EXISTS. We are talking a hard crash not the silent type so far. I would go further and assign it probability 50% chance of a 50+ point crash in SPX. If it did not happen till 17th, we would have survived.
If the crash came it could be a 20% crash in BANK index $BKX
Monday, July 14, 2008
Attraction Points
1243 1240 1235 1229 spx 1256 1260 1265 1271
Intra updated on protected site
10:14 ET, We have hit exhaustion 5 min bars on GOLD and JPY to the upside and inversely on ES MINI
We are terribly sorry, for being late on the Intraday AP sets today. It is not often that we are this late. We usually manage to get it out before 10. Unfortunately these kind of days will happen and it is too bad to have happened today.
Fortunately due to the programming that was done for us by IVAN CURAK and friends is coming and we should hope that there will be considerable improvement in the quality and the speed of delivery of this data. We shall see. Working hard on all these issues, but this one is the FIRST. Without it it will be hard to make progress in other areas. I believe that we are one of the few if not alone to tackle this very time sensitive type of service and we are making all efforts to make it as good as it can be.
11:14 ET, Cycliclaly speaking this time 11:30(sorry error in calc)AM ET +- 15min should constitute turn time. We shall see if it works then bullish sign will be indicated for the market.
13:04 ET, 19.50 area is a 62% FIBO for SIlver and it is approaching it now. Pulling over and staying there, would push the SILVER into overdrive that can carry it to 22 area(this week)
14:01 ET, this market may not base till 15:30 or so, when it, finally, may start look for todays bottom.
15:30 ET, OK it looks like we got one half of our prediction right today. 15:30 Area did provide the jump/consolidation to the markets.
Intra updated on protected site
10:14 ET, We have hit exhaustion 5 min bars on GOLD and JPY to the upside and inversely on ES MINI
We are terribly sorry, for being late on the Intraday AP sets today. It is not often that we are this late. We usually manage to get it out before 10. Unfortunately these kind of days will happen and it is too bad to have happened today.
Fortunately due to the programming that was done for us by IVAN CURAK and friends is coming and we should hope that there will be considerable improvement in the quality and the speed of delivery of this data. We shall see. Working hard on all these issues, but this one is the FIRST. Without it it will be hard to make progress in other areas. I believe that we are one of the few if not alone to tackle this very time sensitive type of service and we are making all efforts to make it as good as it can be.
11:14 ET, Cycliclaly speaking this time 11:30(sorry error in calc)AM ET +- 15min should constitute turn time. We shall see if it works then bullish sign will be indicated for the market.
13:04 ET, 19.50 area is a 62% FIBO for SIlver and it is approaching it now. Pulling over and staying there, would push the SILVER into overdrive that can carry it to 22 area(this week)
14:01 ET, this market may not base till 15:30 or so, when it, finally, may start look for todays bottom.
15:30 ET, OK it looks like we got one half of our prediction right today. 15:30 Area did provide the jump/consolidation to the markets.
Attraction Points(Apoints),ASIA & EUROPE
6180 6163 6135 6090 DAX 6263 6280 6307 6352
3163 3140 3104 3046 ESTX 3271 3293 3329 3387
Dear Subscriber, please go to the clickme->Protected Link site to see the message related to the events in the "FREE MARKETS" conducted by Treasury and how I plan to react to it.
Dear Shakers Subscribers, correction. MGA.TO ( mega uranium) is ranked at 1.51 not at 37 on shakers scale. The problem is in data not in calculation. Software seems to have picked up parameters of MGA ( NYSE company) not (MGA.TO TSX Company). That caused calcs to be wrong. 1.51 is still bad , but not as bad as 37.
We owe for this correction to alert subscriber Dear Aaaaaaum , who always has very thoughtful comments and suggestions and we knew he was alert, but we know that dear A... ( how we nickname him) is SUPER ALERT, or just loves MGA.to too much(:-.
Now this seems to be perfect lead into energy, why in the world is MGA.TO in the basement if we have energy shortage, why are not people stealing this company? Because we have no energy shortage, we just have SOPITALISTS raising prices on us, via perpetrating the GREEN and PEAKOIL BS on us, while the true GREEN ENERGY( NUCLEAR) is languashing and DIRTY COAL POWERS the world, the shipyards are building so many bulk carrier monsters that if we could stop that the demand for steel and coal will collapse instantly and the GREENIes( no offense to our friend Greenie) are telling as we are killing O... ZONE layer. Welcome to 18th century my DEAR READERS...
===================================
And just a question Dear GREENIES, where are we going to plug all those electric and/or hybrid cars? into dirty Coal power generators, with total emissions higher than the total population of gas powered cars?
====================================
SO, you want to see OIL prices come down? Approve god dam 10 New Nuclear Reactors in USA NOW!
3163 3140 3104 3046 ESTX 3271 3293 3329 3387
Dear Subscriber, please go to the clickme->Protected Link site to see the message related to the events in the "FREE MARKETS" conducted by Treasury and how I plan to react to it.
Dear Shakers Subscribers, correction. MGA.TO ( mega uranium) is ranked at 1.51 not at 37 on shakers scale. The problem is in data not in calculation. Software seems to have picked up parameters of MGA ( NYSE company) not (MGA.TO TSX Company). That caused calcs to be wrong. 1.51 is still bad , but not as bad as 37.
We owe for this correction to alert subscriber Dear Aaaaaaum , who always has very thoughtful comments and suggestions and we knew he was alert, but we know that dear A... ( how we nickname him) is SUPER ALERT, or just loves MGA.to too much(:-.
Now this seems to be perfect lead into energy, why in the world is MGA.TO in the basement if we have energy shortage, why are not people stealing this company? Because we have no energy shortage, we just have SOPITALISTS raising prices on us, via perpetrating the GREEN and PEAKOIL BS on us, while the true GREEN ENERGY( NUCLEAR) is languashing and DIRTY COAL POWERS the world, the shipyards are building so many bulk carrier monsters that if we could stop that the demand for steel and coal will collapse instantly and the GREENIes( no offense to our friend Greenie) are telling as we are killing O... ZONE layer. Welcome to 18th century my DEAR READERS...
===================================
And just a question Dear GREENIES, where are we going to plug all those electric and/or hybrid cars? into dirty Coal power generators, with total emissions higher than the total population of gas powered cars?
====================================
SO, you want to see OIL prices come down? Approve god dam 10 New Nuclear Reactors in USA NOW!
Saturday, July 12, 2008
WORLD TODAY
Initially I thought ONly Subscribers will receive this and they deserve, Believe me. They are the smartest and most generous on the net. But by the same token, I realised they would not mind sharing it with world. So here the Worlds most important indices for your interest Courtesy of our subscribers
Looks Like Market is Finally Ready to Take the FINAL drive Down , While Driving PCratios UP
AFRICA=15 Mission Accomplished. Another countdown successfully completed. We counted this company (AFIL, In Pink) down from 48 (AUGUST 2007) down to 24 at first and then instituted another one down to 15. We have arrived. It goes lower in time, But I lost the interest in this DOG, just the same with all Israeli Building DOGS( sorry companies)
===============================
MDS picture UP To Date On Protected Site
Friday, July 11, 2008
Attraction Points(Apoints)
1228 1225 1218 1211 spx 1245 1248 1255 1262
Very important Cluster was hit at the bottom this morning
TRAN 5692
SPX 1234 , learning to count again(:-.
INDU 11051, pretty important number.
RUT/R2K, UTIL,NYA,QQQQ,TRAN never checked the new lows. This dichotomy is a warning until removed
Please watch failure to break these down would indicate things are not as bad as they look.
10:31 ET, DOW hits another cluster point 11025. next is under 11000( HUH), unfortunately, I am not a buyer till the 17 th July passed and then we shall see.
10:38 ET, NYA SPX both at important CLUSTER PIONTS 8325 and 1234
10:40 ET, ok what do we make with RUT showing strength against the INSTITUTIONAL indices DOW/NYA/SPX. TWO WORDS FOR YOU...
FOREIGNERS DUMPING!!!
11:20 ET, most of the cluster is under attack again and NYA, actually gave it up going for the next one at 8306.
Next points are 10999, 1225, 8280 respectively for DOW,SPX,NYA
11:25 ET, 1170 our first Low Target FOr SPX is only 5% away from here, which is , usually on good days worth of work for this index
12:17 ET, Dear Readers, I would like to attract your attentions to the fact that the ANTIDOLLAR leaders OIL and GOLD have tried but could not really HOLD above the SDHAP levels, which is giving some hope for a runaway train of ANTIDOLLAR to have been stopped here, at least for now.
12:56 ET, we are now approaching the FirstDLAP and SDLAP of ES MINI which are between 1126 and 1123( of course at the same place, see UP HERE, there are SILAP and ThirdILAPs), Very important Area, as GOLD and OIL have already reached Respective SDHAPs
14:02 ET, just few minutes ago the QID and QQQQ hit very important CLUSTER support points at 47.27 and 43.90 respectively as the SPX and INDU were hitting there own 10971 and 1225. those are very significant support points
14:48 ET, JPY at FourthIHAP is pushing stocks higher and previous cluster looks like made the support with authority, but the JPY itself looks exhausted at FIHAP.
15:02 ET, YEN is going for FIFTH and so is the SPX going for fourth. GOLD and OIL in retreat.
15:05 ET, YEN fails again at the fourth. Not able to hurdle to the fifth
15:08 ET, There are couple things that help to think of a capitulation being closer. The DOW/RUT ratio is getting stretched out and the TRAN index is
behaving very well.
Very important Cluster was hit at the bottom this morning
TRAN 5692
SPX 1234 , learning to count again(:-.
INDU 11051, pretty important number.
RUT/R2K, UTIL,NYA,QQQQ,TRAN never checked the new lows. This dichotomy is a warning until removed
Please watch failure to break these down would indicate things are not as bad as they look.
10:31 ET, DOW hits another cluster point 11025. next is under 11000( HUH), unfortunately, I am not a buyer till the 17 th July passed and then we shall see.
10:38 ET, NYA SPX both at important CLUSTER PIONTS 8325 and 1234
10:40 ET, ok what do we make with RUT showing strength against the INSTITUTIONAL indices DOW/NYA/SPX. TWO WORDS FOR YOU...
FOREIGNERS DUMPING!!!
11:20 ET, most of the cluster is under attack again and NYA, actually gave it up going for the next one at 8306.
Next points are 10999, 1225, 8280 respectively for DOW,SPX,NYA
11:25 ET, 1170 our first Low Target FOr SPX is only 5% away from here, which is , usually on good days worth of work for this index
12:17 ET, Dear Readers, I would like to attract your attentions to the fact that the ANTIDOLLAR leaders OIL and GOLD have tried but could not really HOLD above the SDHAP levels, which is giving some hope for a runaway train of ANTIDOLLAR to have been stopped here, at least for now.
12:56 ET, we are now approaching the FirstDLAP and SDLAP of ES MINI which are between 1126 and 1123( of course at the same place, see UP HERE, there are SILAP and ThirdILAPs), Very important Area, as GOLD and OIL have already reached Respective SDHAPs
14:02 ET, just few minutes ago the QID and QQQQ hit very important CLUSTER support points at 47.27 and 43.90 respectively as the SPX and INDU were hitting there own 10971 and 1225. those are very significant support points
14:48 ET, JPY at FourthIHAP is pushing stocks higher and previous cluster looks like made the support with authority, but the JPY itself looks exhausted at FIHAP.
15:02 ET, YEN is going for FIFTH and so is the SPX going for fourth. GOLD and OIL in retreat.
15:05 ET, YEN fails again at the fourth. Not able to hurdle to the fifth
15:08 ET, There are couple things that help to think of a capitulation being closer. The DOW/RUT ratio is getting stretched out and the TRAN index is
behaving very well.
Attraction Points(Apoints),ASIA & EUROPE
6267 6247 6214 6160 DAX 6366 6386 6419 6472
3275 3266 3252 3228 ESTX 3318 3327 3341 3364
Ok so, Yesterday Israeli Shekel was worth 3.19 and today it is 3.40. 6% less!
remember what I said, at best CENTRAL BANKING is a dark science and at worst CENTRAL BANKERS are rampant speculators MAKING their CLIENTS rich at the expense of Innocent. It is about time to recall these people. If these bankers think they can manage anything, why do we see such gyrations? You guessed it...
05:45 ET, Dear Damien, CME ( great stock, once upon a time). Ideal time for the lows is next month AUGUST. Ideal prices 298 and next very desirable point 269. If these were to fail , we would look to low 200's. But I think this area of high 200's is very good support for, at least, a temporary low. Now, we could reach one of these prices Next couple days as well. Good Luck ( I would also watch watch for ICE at 62, NDAQ at 20 and NYX at 33)
3275 3266 3252 3228 ESTX 3318 3327 3341 3364
Ok so, Yesterday Israeli Shekel was worth 3.19 and today it is 3.40. 6% less!
remember what I said, at best CENTRAL BANKING is a dark science and at worst CENTRAL BANKERS are rampant speculators MAKING their CLIENTS rich at the expense of Innocent. It is about time to recall these people. If these bankers think they can manage anything, why do we see such gyrations? You guessed it...
05:45 ET, Dear Damien, CME ( great stock, once upon a time). Ideal time for the lows is next month AUGUST. Ideal prices 298 and next very desirable point 269. If these were to fail , we would look to low 200's. But I think this area of high 200's is very good support for, at least, a temporary low. Now, we could reach one of these prices Next couple days as well. Good Luck ( I would also watch watch for ICE at 62, NDAQ at 20 and NYX at 33)
o6:48 ET, ON GOLD, Well, Gold is supposed to be topping next week or so. What if it is not. What if gold breaks 965 and goes higher. Altrenate route allows that. Then I think we are in a rally of few weeks that will take the gold to new highs. I would be watching this situation very carefully.
07:37 ET, USO(OIL ETF) in the premarket is hitting level of 117.15=FDHAP and second one is around 117.68=SDHAP ( second daily High Attraction Point), subscribers have all numbers, higher than that. Are going to those or is this it?
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF A CYCLE TURN RIGHT IN THESE MINUTES 7:45 +- 15Min, So be on the ALERT in all markets ESMINI/GOLD/OIL
08:18 ET, It looks like the above cycle was not elected.
08:22 ET, Gold Is just hitting the SDHAP and OIL is approaching the same, Be on the lookout if GE numbers come good these hits on SDHAP could spell the DEMISE of the GOLD and OIL. Of course it could go the other way too, but YBR says we could go lower into next week and SEEFUTURE PROJECTIONS also identify the next week as a turn point.
08:25 OIL just hit the SDHAP
08:39 ET, So far both OIL and GOLD are just under SDHAP after being rejected from there. Often shese levesl spell the end of the GOLD/OIL rallies, but sometimes the lead to very strong up move.
08:35 ET, next levels for ThirdDHAP are 122 and 983 respectively for USO and GOLDcash, if this incredible 122 was to be reached on USO, that would be just about 151 level for CRUDEOIL, which is our FourthAnualHAP for CRUDE we thought was next possible high point. We projected these a while ago on these blogs( for the end of JULY)
Thursday, July 10, 2008
Attraction Points(Apoints) COMING UP
09:30 ET, I outline today as one of the two possible scenarios.
1) Market makes lows around 11:30ET and closes higher into 16:00 ( more likely )
2) market makes highs around 11:30ET and closes lower into 16:00
1231 1224 1211 1196 spx 1263 1271 1283 1298
11:30 ET, the way the TRAN is taking up here it could be the bottom, and a nice confirmation could be GOLD breaking below 939
12:17 ET, so far the 11:30 Low in TRAN was the most convincing fact that our outlook has played to the perfection. So far though. Do not get carried away(:-
14:26 ET, this is very undecided market and is not following any reasonable intraday script. I would not stay in any of the swing trades being long at this time.
14:29 ET, if it looks like this is going to end up wishy washy ( inside day) the chances of it confirming the 17th July low are high. This would imply that there is not much of a time left for the markets to go up and come down, so they just stay down and keep moving lower till the target of 17th July +-2 days. Now, there is an outside chance that July 17th is high not the low, but I think it is very small at this point. To the extent that a crash(et) is still a possibility, I would buy very cheap puts to either capitalise on the down move and/or ( more so) protect the invested capital.
15:01 ET, GOld HITS fifth EXACTLY!, but shows some signs of exhaustion
15:30 ET, in spite of some recovery the day remains exactly what we termed it "wishy washy" and all that I said before applies, so far
15:59 ET, Market is still in wishy washy category, but I would refrain from any put options at this time
1) Market makes lows around 11:30ET and closes higher into 16:00 ( more likely )
2) market makes highs around 11:30ET and closes lower into 16:00
1231 1224 1211 1196 spx 1263 1271 1283 1298
11:30 ET, the way the TRAN is taking up here it could be the bottom, and a nice confirmation could be GOLD breaking below 939
12:17 ET, so far the 11:30 Low in TRAN was the most convincing fact that our outlook has played to the perfection. So far though. Do not get carried away(:-
14:26 ET, this is very undecided market and is not following any reasonable intraday script. I would not stay in any of the swing trades being long at this time.
14:29 ET, if it looks like this is going to end up wishy washy ( inside day) the chances of it confirming the 17th July low are high. This would imply that there is not much of a time left for the markets to go up and come down, so they just stay down and keep moving lower till the target of 17th July +-2 days. Now, there is an outside chance that July 17th is high not the low, but I think it is very small at this point. To the extent that a crash(et) is still a possibility, I would buy very cheap puts to either capitalise on the down move and/or ( more so) protect the invested capital.
15:01 ET, GOld HITS fifth EXACTLY!, but shows some signs of exhaustion
15:30 ET, in spite of some recovery the day remains exactly what we termed it "wishy washy" and all that I said before applies, so far
15:59 ET, Market is still in wishy washy category, but I would refrain from any put options at this time
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