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OK, seems like the SELL here has taken a quick hold, as NAZ MDS has already been on SELL before we came here anyway. Before this move lower is over , we will see that NAZ under performance again and that could coincide with a spike down. I do not see the "crashet" out of question at this time as the BUY pressure is high and could spike really high in case of a "crashet" The only guiding force here could be that ANTI DOLLAR , especially Especially GOLD needs to be watched ( and OIL perhaps). If our GOLDPROJECTIONS is correct and GOLD has already recovered nicely(ha...) and ready to jump, perhaps it has very good reasons to do so and take the Stock market down with it as it jumps up?
Please take all the info in front of you for consideration, but ultimate protection is a small loss. Good Trading

IF YOU EMAILED ME AND DID NOT GET RESPONSE, MY MAILBOX WAS FULL, PLEASE RESEND, SORRY

5344 5337 5327 5310 SPI 5375 5382 5392 5409
13799 13735 13631 13461 n225 14112 14175 14280 14449
6674 6664 6648 6621 DAX 6723 6733 6750 6777
3512 3504 3489 3466 ESTX 3555 3563 3577 3600

All Please note, as Dear John, corrects me, the picture on MDS ( on the Protected link) has the wording about MDS Corrected. Please see it there and I'm sending working correction email.

07:51 ET, this is a very important stand for ANTIDOLLAR it must support here in time and in price, Any close of EURO much below 1.5325 ( where it is now) will be a sign that ANTIDOLLAR has finally broken down and done so hard and Dollar Has broken on the upside for sure. Any substantial lows in GOLD here will perhaps retain the GOLDPROJECTIONS timing, but will totally change slant of the projections DOWNWARD.

Being at it, BEYOND THE SYSTEM

Since we are at , we may as well, touch the issues BEYOND the SYSTEM.
What i mean by this is as follows. The number of trades and wins and losses are only the beginning about system conception. Then come the really hard questions. How did the system get from point A to point B. Ha... Maximum Draw down 92 points ... Lot of points to potentially lose ( how about 1987 180 spx points in 2o days and 150 of it in one day - That is when GEORGE SOROS got scared and stupid Boris made $17000 in 20 minutes on GEORGES account, most of his money though was made by Barsellino the rogue trader, of course. )( BY THE WAY THAT TRADE WAS THE BEGINING OF MY END AS A TRADER FOR MANY YEARS). How does that figure. Being the Early warning system, how do yo like to distribute the risk? Which day to get the most courage? Maybe Options( cheap ones) are better way? as they strictly limit loss? How many times has the trade gone so many days? ( the other day Lag gave us the consecutive up/down days). How many days has the market has already been down/up before we got the signal? ( no wonder I like when the market gives a sell on the up day and BUY on the down day )... how many times has the system lost in sequence. Is this statistics getting worse?

All of these are often just as important , especially in early warning system as are actual SIGNAL days. FOR SURE

WHy is machine Millioner?

Because the machine thinks it has unlimited amount of money.
Any time, trader introduces a fear of a loss of money, he/she will never follow the machine again.
One can not follow the machine unless he/she trade amount so small that the do not think about it.
I WANT TO BE LIKE MIKE... Ha, I want to be like MDS.
If that is what I want to be, I know that I have to play with about less $5000 Dollars and allow 15 trades before it is all gone. That means I must allow no more than $150 loss per trade. Do you see why I am not a millioner/billioner. To think I have unlimited amount of money, like machine does, I must play very small.

Honestly , how many people trade with these kind of parameters. I see people all the time that lose $1000- $2500 and get so scared that Machine and the system is the last thing they remember. They cut the trade, just before the market turns ( as usual). Remember machine has no stops, even though it can be given a relatively large one.

What are quality High YIELD stocks

Good Question.
Ok, how about

1) Pipelines KMP,TPP , EPD etc.
2) Utilities D, ED, FPL etc
3) Healthcare REITS SNH, etc,
4) Timber PCL, etc
5) CD Laddering CD's
6) Food SYS etc.
7) Safer Banks , Canadian Banks mostly
8) GNMA

THese are all realtively safe group of stocks that when put together can give
nice portfolio of with GOOD yield and some chance of appreciation.

For as long as there is life in USA there will be GAS flowing through pipelines, trust me.
For as long as there is life in USA there will be Utilities distributing POWER and GAS
For as long as there is life in USA there will be TIMBER NEEDED ( perhaps to heat us when OIL is gone(:-
For as long as there is life in USA there will be food distributed
For as long as there is life in USA there will be need for elderly care
For as long as there is life in USA there will be government to pay GNMA's
For as long as there is life in USA there will be banks issuing CDS
For as long as there is life in CANADA there will b Canadian banks

Ok. I suggest that for many, there is a nice way to learn about investments by purchasing these kind of companies and writing covered calls on them. This is great way to learn the necessary patience in the market and earn extra money.
Good Trading

Attraction Points

Dear Subscribers, Please refresh the links (CTRL F5) ALl is new there.

10:10 ET, Please take your profits on yesterday's positions or at least make them neutral, there is no reason to lose money on them.

It should be clear from this chart that I had placed my trade in not as good of a place as the opinion was expressed that the market could be at the temporary, at least, bottom 11:56, my own trade was a little earlier and less successful, but it has made a small profit after $18 commission. This is a stupid account I play sometimes with. I trade with much better commissions, obviously.

CARBONFUTURE
MarkLytle our good Old time and ever fresh friend , thinks this is interesting read, I trust him it is. He never wasted my time(:- Thanks Mark and please somebody find time to read and share with us the basics. ONly after you collected profits on Yesterdays Purchases , Please

Dear Anybody who bought yesterday at around 11:56 and 13:00 should have very nice profits. These were the times announced to be a good places to do BUY. I have stated MILLION TIMES and will STATE again. Even the scaling needs to be done with a lot of care. When the market moves against your expectations and it could do more so( it always does) , one can not go allow themselves to put a lot of money on the first day of the trade and call it the scaling. Scaling needs to start very slow as the best needs to be kept for what is statistically better time to rev up for MDS and that is day 4-5 and even then it could be that the trade goes 12-13 days then you need to be ready for such development and never allow yourself to be fully committed. Markets are designed to part the impatient from their money. There is no short cut to being MILLIONER. I am not, because I do not believe in short cuts, they have never worked for me. So, I make sure that I can swallow what I Byte(:-

Please, Reread again and again the addendum's to the emails I sand. They are not there for beauty. They represent hard facts of life. Money is hard to make and requires care. Be an investor not a trader, primarily. If you like to learn trading then make it inexpensive. Play with coffee money until you know what you are doing. Only when you reached a point of consistent success, of 5-12 months, start to increase your lots every so slowly. That is the only way or do not trade. Be an investor, because that you can not avoid, we all have IRAS and personal money that needs to be managed. Invest in safer YIELDING assets, subscribe to SHAKERS and keep an EYE on advancing HIGH YIELD QUALITY Stocks. That is the way to deal with the investments. Only PLAY money should be traded.

Largest wealth manager in the world, UBS will tell you ( yes the guys that lost mmmmmmBillions in sub prime and CDO's) that if they can make 2% above the market rates , you would tell them thank you... Nice, Ha? So, if treasury returns 2% this year and they can make you 4% they are hero's. This is how difficult making the money is folks. That is not me... Ha , that is a TRILLION DOLLAR wealth manager. Why do I say that, because one must set very realistic goal in trading "enhancement" of the investments. Risks have to be absolutely furiously controlled and the attempt has to be made on not losing , not on making a lot. Then the 2-5% above market rates will make you look better than BILL GROSSes or DAN FUTSes of the world and UBSes of the world. Try writing Covered Options, see if that makes you more comfortable and teaches you patience, because once you wrote that option, you will be there for months at a time collecting those extra .5-.1 percent. That will teach on patience. I will help you anyway I can, but I can not help when people overextend themselves. Most of the time loss comes because, trader is scared to lose more. That could be billion dollars for GEORGE SOROS and it could be $100 bucks for me. Understanding that, was finally what made me a good trader. It had nothing to do with market knowledge. Just understanding how much is nothing to me?

Why do I write so much about this? because I alwasys do. And in light of SYSTEM underperformance this is the best time to remind us what are we dealing with.

By the way did you know How some of the big wealth managers "enhance" you investment's. Well, it seemed to be an accidental moment of honesty of some trader/official from one of the biggest wealth manager houses that they could borrow in LIBOR market at , practically , "any rate" they wanted.

In ENGLISH this means they could borrow at X and then charge the public X+2 with relatively safe type loans and WOILA! they have the +2% out performance over the treasury. Of course YOu pay handsomely for that over performance and you and up with still nothing much better than you could make in CD's. Or take another example How the "HEDGE FUNDS" ( so called) collect 2-20 on your money if they make over 10% a year. That does not seem to be so hard, when the MONEY supply grows at 20% a year and real INFLIETION is over 10% , which makes the 10% in stocks market guaranteed ( until the "credit crunch" comes ). That is how this entire industry works. There are no easy places to go. I still think that if you find that you can not master sufficient patience, then just stick with the quality high YIELD stocks and CD's to do "self enhancement" of your investments. GNMA's are another very safe investment, but could lose some principle as interest rates rise. Please find the time to rethink the exact objectives of what you would like to achieve. Good Luck and Good Trading

One time Only For Public, New Feature

Dear Subscriber, Every day you will see this as part of the protected site. To be found here: clickme->

Protected Link

What is happening today, so far, corresponds marvelously wit the GOLDPROJECTIONS.jpg chart. It has called ANTIDOLLAR UNDER-PRESSURE Today and perhaps tomorrow Minoring!

I think, though, next time you look at the GOLD PROJECTIONS chart, please mentally downshift the future projections lines as the break to the new retracement lows by GOLD indicates less robust upside than that picture(perhaps) projects. Keep timing though.

09:00 ET, Please take the chance to collect on positions you may have taken as scaling , yesterday. This is your chance to make some money and get out of it until this stupid picture painted above becomes more favorable to Longs.

How Do You Use This Site

If you do not understand something and need to improve your knowledge of the items discussed and provided on this site, please email me your phone number, I will make sure to call you and talk to you about the items of interest to you. We will do so in most of countries of the world.

Dear Reader, I know there are still questions how do I use this site and Legitimate ones: For one it is the way the site is itself and for another there are so many styles and experiences...

Ok, so where do we start, here is where.

1) Investor Or Trader
2) Short term Trader Swing Only trader Or long term trader

1) Investor, needs to look at Annual APs mostly and MDS only at deeply oversold conditions.
Such as Our calls to add/subtract to the stock portfolios at the depths of January/March
2) Trader
2.1) Short term trader, needs APs daily/intraday and timing we provide , and may use MDS system positioning (BUY/SELL) ( this trader would have made money today and be flat)
2.2) Swing Trader, needs MDS and may use the APS for entry exit. ( this trade is going for more than few points/scalping and maybe losing some on the scaling done so far)
Both of the scalpers and mostly Swing Traders, should look at Stock System Status and Sentiment as well ( at this point Sentiment is not really bullish(PCRATIO) and the Stock System Stats at X(asset)X(pressure)B(MDS)B(summation) is not the greatest bull configuration.). No wonder I am not raging bull, in fact I would rather have SELL from MDS at this time(:-
2.3) Long term Trader , is just like investor , pretty much. (this trade is mostly concentrated on ASSET allocation and ASSET charts, with some MDS exposure and Annual APs) For Both Long TERM and SWING TRADER, will not hurt to look at YBR(yellow brick road)
And who could not look that BIGPICTUE and marvel? The easiest way to identify what the potential up/down side are(APs) and MACD oscillators showing the longer term momentum.

Why these tools work and how they work has been documented in real time examples on this site and http://www.safehaven.com/ where our calls of the market TOPS and and BOTTOMS have not been matched by anybody ( to the best of my understanding).

Now, for somebody coming to this site occasionally or first time. What we do looks completely disorganised, but that is very far from reality. We are very organised and have all kinds of rules to go with usage of systems and money management. Unfortunately we can not repeat them every day. One example is scaling into MDS calls. MDS formula. If you search "MDS FORMULA" on the site you will understand what it is and how it manages the market risks. Such as Dear Czman was talking in the comments. I wish we were more organised by categories of investments, but that is a bit hard to do with the blog ( not a real site). Still , while doable, it is even harder to devote time everyday to individual items, which we do via AP ( daily and Intraday) and outlines what we expect timing wise. I know for that reason, people that are looking better organisation may find the site hard to use, even though it probably is much more organised than any other BLOG ( not site) for the amount of material it delivers.
Nevertheless , we are listening and try to implement what looks reasonable and doable within our context. Appreciate your input, please keep it coming.


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13818 13757 13658 13536 n225 14074 14135 14233 14356
6640 6628 6609 6578 DAX 6697 6708 6727 6758
3510 3503 3492 3474 ESTX50 3544 3550 3562 3580

Dear Subscriber, click on "protected site" in the "links to other blogs" section and login for fresh MDS and DailyUpdate. MDS picture will update soon as well

Everyone that scaled in yesterdays lows or thereabouts, please get out with profits, certainly no loss. Please do so

08:35, I had emailed to you this morning about the JPY breaking the levels of 107.75, well, it has and the market is responded in a limited fashion. Please take the profits or losses as needed. You know the status.