Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Attraction Points( Apoints)




N QQQQ 44.14 - 44.50,44.62
N SPX 1341 - 1352, 1357,1361,1367

10:57 ET, market is demonstrating strength in time and price... So, enjoy whatever longs you were able to pick up when we wanted you to do so. Still would suggest that traders keep nice trailing stops. MARKET NOW aT 4th APoint, as a trader, must take some profits here. Investor, stay put


12:10 ET, HOWDY GOLD!? , Well Dear Greenie, was more determined, but at the end the result is the same, I was just willing to look in other direction as well, but would not give the GOLD chance if it broke lower... Here we are( how many times did we lock these drop downs of GOLD with options? every time gold went higher, check it out... it is all on this site(search gold)) Hallelujah,.


Dear Brandon, good catch on CNMD, could be a 4 bagger.


WARREN BUFFET must be reading MDS signals!


12:20 ET, Dear Readers, as suggested to you, I took some of my profits at 4th AP(BOY HOW PRECISE!). Now trailing the rest.


If you are a trader, please remember the word MEANDER, do not go too far either way!


12:28 ET, SPX on a visit to the 1st?

Dear Brandon, look at the NYSE list, you see ZMH right, that is a medical stock as well.

12:44 ET, OK friends, I said to be careful ha... SPX has a support at 1350 and better hold


OK Dear Jason, readers, I will let you on one secret, "they" will not let JPY go until GOLD breaks ( may have started), Carry-Trade stops, FED FUNDs rates have reached where former BOND vigilantes and current BOND PIMPS want it 3 and under? Who are they, you know the answer. Look at our name(:-




Dear Readers, this is from John ( Thanks , Not So Old John)

For a great read on UNT , please go to http://www.equitydigest.blogspot.com/ I think itis the 2nd or 3rd article. Very thorough. UNT is one of the stocks in the above NYSE NIFTY-FIFTY Excel List.


So, what is/was smart money doing during this dismal period for stocks? You guessed it . look at the EXCEL nifty-fifty list above. Only couple stocks UNT/SWC/ZMH and lot of preferred stocks with nice coupons to go with. Here goes your "SMART MONEY"


One more nice peace from JOhn,


Deals in wireless. Competes against EDS and VRSN. SVR quarterly growth ( last quarter) of 7.2 percent versus 2.2 for EDS and -6 for VRSN. Operating margins are also above the competitors.
The interesting thing about SVR is that they are into number portability. That is a huge thing now with the baby boomers moving. Almost everyone I know that moved out this ghetto city and to a warm climate took their phone number with them. Even when I was working, the criminal element used the number portability for their non-criminal phones ( they almost always used prepaid for their drug dealing). Could be something there.

Monday, February 11, 2008

Thanks For Being With US

Please visit the updated(Thanks Ivan) GROUPTATION link for fresh ASSET PICTURE


Dear Readers The National SOPITALIST Casino will soon be closed for today and the Wall Street ( WELFARE STATE ) will go to burbs to count money they screwed ordinary citizens out of. We did not trade today, but were positioned for , at least, a short move up. Anticipation was that market would turn around the date centered at 12 feb and it looks like it is doing that. Not a very strong move though. One would like to see a more powerful move from a bottom formation.
04:45 ET observeing the StockMarketSystem 4 components, the picture is not great and it could go either way, even as MDS is on the BUY ( MDS is not 100% correct even as it is 80% correct, it can fail ) and PCratio points south. I would suggest that at this point we stop any additions to the Stock Market allocation and remain underexposed to the market. If it goes higher, fine and if not we should buy the stocks cheaper. Need to be in the capital preservation mode here for anybody that has a horizon of 6-24 months. For those with 3-20Years time horizon, keep adding.
08:03 ET, Dear Greenie, could we be right? giving more weight to gold taking dive than exploding on the upside?
08:16 ET, Is YEN finally beginning the phase of weakness ( however short term) that will allow the market to move higher... Could be! ( we expected this after mid week )
08:35 ET, I must caution here everybody, this early morning strength could be very deceptive. I would not add any positions(as Investor) and trail, whatever longs I have closely ( as trader).

Attraction Points( Apoints)

SPX Daily Attraction Points 1310 - 1352, intraday coming up

N SPX 1322,1320, 1314, 1309 - 1332, 1335, 1337,1343, 1348
YOU should notice the outer intradays bridge into daily, AMAZING
N QQQQ 43.37,43.12 - 44.11,44.35

Anybody that wants to get on MDS mailing list, please email me at bchikvash@aol.com MDS will be soon discontinued to be published. New memebers will have to pay for it . And Old members can still receive it free only via email.

I hope some of you remember, I said the JPY could/would rise early this week. Well, that is what is going on and market is moving lower and that is almost a classic move, cause after couple days of MDS buy , best thing that can happen is a .... PULLBACK! getting it, do not complain, if you are INVESTOR, slowly but surely put 5% or so , as advised earlier, to work over next 4 days. No chasing markets higher though. BUY what market will allow and let it go up if it wants to

For realtively new readers, to understand why I emphasize the the JPY so much, please read the entry (link on the right) for CARRY-TRADE and you will understand.

13:05 ET Q's approach the first and there seems to be a sort of a turnaround time here, so, we get a little rest here for the market that is off to see the lizard?

15:03 ET, JPY is having fierce resistance at first of its own. If it breaks from there market will go even higher, but perhaps JPY wants to think this over till tomorrow. We shell see 107 is holding YEN at this moment







Friday, February 08, 2008

Thanks For Being With US

Please see updated(Thanks Ivan) GROUPTATION LINK for ASSET OSCILLATORS


Dear Readers The National SOPITALIST Casino will soon be closed for today and the Wall Street ( WELFARE STATE ) will go to burbs to count money they screwed ordinary citizens out of. We did not trade today , while Dear Lag reported gains on , now closed SRS shorts. Let us say(almost sure) we get a buy today in Stock Market. that would mean that a trader puts on close to 15-20% of trading capital to work ( long in this case). Waits for next couple days and puts antohter 15-20% if the position is still available ( market is lower). For an INVESTOR though we are already at where I think we should be in Stocks at this juncture. So nothing to do.(CaVEATE, Trader, better put the Long on the Open, to prevent having sleepless weekend)
Now, I want everybody to understand how MDS works, the fact that it is on the BUY signal neither guarantees the gains in price and/or in couple days. See the statistics. See that statistically it takes time for signal to devlop into gains, often upto 10 days.

Anybody that wants to get on MDS mailing list, please email me at bchikvash@aol.com MDS will be soon discontinued to be published. New memebers will have to pay for it . And Old members can still receive it free only via email.

Dear Damien, I will answer your NZD question shortly, Sorry missed it yesterday.
GOLD is at very explosive, point, if it could break strong of the top of the range, speculators can take it to my original target 1121 If not we crumble 70-100 points in no time. I still recommend to play this either long/short via worthless options
OK NZD, very strong currency, among other cause the NEW ZEELAND is an agri-cultural giant and dairy giant and this industry had best year in ages. Now a lot depends on where Agri-business is going and if I am right and Agri is going to have not as good of an year as last one NZD will have to come off strongly. That is a big iff though considering the appettite of new rich Asians for everything FOOD! Here is my suggestion, i am more confident that AUD will undergo correction and perhaps NZD will do just the same, but if you i have to bet, i would bet AUD down. In any case , here are the main Attraction Points for this year for nZD
LOW SIDE 1.17-1.15 , 1.11-1.10 1.05-1.02 (unlikely any of this unless 1.23 is broken
HIGH SIDE 1.44 , 1.50

Attraction Points( Apoints)

N QQQQ 43.07,42.87 - 43.61,43.81,44.06
N SPX 1326,1322 - 1334,1331(1341 typo),1348

Dear Readers, those not feeling comfortable putting email in the blog, email me at bchikvash@aol.com

10:30 ET, looks like we got stiff resistance at first on SPX

Please note, the dates 7-13 are important turning dates, the real question is are in for a high or low? Just finding out...

11:10 ET, Market is showing no signs of wanting to break down here, Is 12-13 feb high becoming more likely? The only problem I have with this is that Market has not provided 'really good opportunity" to buy more shares as we asked investors to buy (up to 5%) which would have brought the total stocks holdings to about 40-45%, Well do not fight the tape as they say and if market clears second AP here then we could be heading into 1350 range for SPX, Also I expect YEN(quote) to weaken(get stronger in price) sometime early next week and I also expect GOLD to move to a short cycle low into DEC (FEB stupid boris, typo again)12. So, the stock market high, just does not seem to be in concert with all of this! Remember though, since YBR/wbr call for late FEB, early March low, perhaps the FEB 12 high better fits the scenario, cause we would get the sell on rally not on decline, right? so the mid FEB sell could give YBR what it wants(low Early march)

11:52 ET, Having all that said, There maybe a little reason to get overly excited about things here. CNBC could play every day as if it was a SUPERBOWL game, but we could be in what I call meandering( love this word, what would i do without it) phase, where market just meanders into March and April without making big noise and new lows? Then turn up higher into Jul/Aug and down into OCTober 2008. Would not that be classic and would not that justify our call to be in quality high yield stocks? You get paid to watch the grass grow!

12:16 ET, Dear John, thanks, YOU SEE JPY status 1,1,0,1,0 is short term JPY strong indicator and stocks-weak indication. So, for a while this morning market seemd to swim against that, but now turned lower. I hate to say this word again, but if are to get the MDS buy on a low volatility meandering move, it would be tough thing for a short term intrady trader as the swings may diminsh. BUT for highyield quality stocks, that is NIRVANA

Ok, now let us look at the following possibilities if we close on the downside today(sharply)

One - we get the lows by next mid week and turn up sharply.
Two- we do not turn up sharply and contiue lower into Early March
both of these scenarios could be within the confines of meandering ( which is where my preferred forecast is, PERHAPS BECAUSE I BADLY NEED VACATION FROM FRIKIN MARKETS(:- )

14:30 ET, with the way JPY acted today, we can get nothing but meandering. 50c range today in JPY! does that sum it up or what?

So, let us say(almost sure) we get a buy today in Stock Market. that would mean that a trader puts on close to 15-20% of trading capital to work ( long in this case). Waits for next couple days and puts antohter 15-20% if the position is still available ( market is lower). For an INVESTOR though we are already at where I think we should be in Stocks at this juncture. So nothing to do.
(CaVEATE, Trader, better put the Long on the Open, to prevent having sleepless weekend)

Thursday, February 07, 2008

Thanks For Being With US

I cut of the text from the graph accidentally, So, the MDS will, most likely be available only on the pay bases to any new member. Members that have been with us long time will receive it free, but via email.


please see the updated(Thanks Ivan) GROUPTATION link for latest ASSET graphs.
Dear Readers The National SOPITALIST Casino will soon be closed for today and the Wall Street ( WELFARE STATE ) will go to burbs to count money they screwed ordinary citizens out of. We did not trade today, but suggested to nibble for INVESTORS. not a decivisive day, but it could change the configuration of things. Dear Lag has reported scratching(almost) trades and still holds SRS from higher. So , we shell see tomorrow how MDS looks.




Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Thanks For Being With Us


Dear Readers The National SOPITALIST Casino will soon be closed for today and the Wall Street ( WELFARE STATE ) will go to burbs to count money they screwed ordinary citizens out of . We traded today and got a quick 20c gain on the half of the position and stoped another half breakeven. Market closed lower as expected. Dear Lag reported gains as well as John. Waiting for MDS to announce the BUY signal

Slightly late with calculations. Please stay tuned!

Time Cycles for today are indicating rough sliding into 11 ET and 14 ET, no guarantees , but that is one cycle interpretation.
Please keep in mind that a bottom comes between 7-13 Feb
N QQQQ 42.23,42.03,41.73 - 42.83, 43.00
N SPX 1316, 1313 - 1330
Investors need to nibble and accumulate 5% or so across next 2-3 trading days, if market cooperates
11:04 ET, we could mark top of the market today at this time! if JPY does not go over 106.73
11:38 ET, Market could not react to jpy advance, does it know this was a fake?
15:04 ET, was that entire JPY move FAKE?
so, what does a day like this , neither here nor there do for MDS, I am not sure, but I am inclined to think that it has not generated a buy signal today, implication being that perhaps we have a sharp move tomorrow.