Friday, February 08, 2008

Thanks For Being With US

Please see updated(Thanks Ivan) GROUPTATION LINK for ASSET OSCILLATORS


Dear Readers The National SOPITALIST Casino will soon be closed for today and the Wall Street ( WELFARE STATE ) will go to burbs to count money they screwed ordinary citizens out of. We did not trade today , while Dear Lag reported gains on , now closed SRS shorts. Let us say(almost sure) we get a buy today in Stock Market. that would mean that a trader puts on close to 15-20% of trading capital to work ( long in this case). Waits for next couple days and puts antohter 15-20% if the position is still available ( market is lower). For an INVESTOR though we are already at where I think we should be in Stocks at this juncture. So nothing to do.(CaVEATE, Trader, better put the Long on the Open, to prevent having sleepless weekend)
Now, I want everybody to understand how MDS works, the fact that it is on the BUY signal neither guarantees the gains in price and/or in couple days. See the statistics. See that statistically it takes time for signal to devlop into gains, often upto 10 days.

Anybody that wants to get on MDS mailing list, please email me at bchikvash@aol.com MDS will be soon discontinued to be published. New memebers will have to pay for it . And Old members can still receive it free only via email.

Dear Damien, I will answer your NZD question shortly, Sorry missed it yesterday.
GOLD is at very explosive, point, if it could break strong of the top of the range, speculators can take it to my original target 1121 If not we crumble 70-100 points in no time. I still recommend to play this either long/short via worthless options
OK NZD, very strong currency, among other cause the NEW ZEELAND is an agri-cultural giant and dairy giant and this industry had best year in ages. Now a lot depends on where Agri-business is going and if I am right and Agri is going to have not as good of an year as last one NZD will have to come off strongly. That is a big iff though considering the appettite of new rich Asians for everything FOOD! Here is my suggestion, i am more confident that AUD will undergo correction and perhaps NZD will do just the same, but if you i have to bet, i would bet AUD down. In any case , here are the main Attraction Points for this year for nZD
LOW SIDE 1.17-1.15 , 1.11-1.10 1.05-1.02 (unlikely any of this unless 1.23 is broken
HIGH SIDE 1.44 , 1.50

Attraction Points( Apoints)

N QQQQ 43.07,42.87 - 43.61,43.81,44.06
N SPX 1326,1322 - 1334,1331(1341 typo),1348

Dear Readers, those not feeling comfortable putting email in the blog, email me at bchikvash@aol.com

10:30 ET, looks like we got stiff resistance at first on SPX

Please note, the dates 7-13 are important turning dates, the real question is are in for a high or low? Just finding out...

11:10 ET, Market is showing no signs of wanting to break down here, Is 12-13 feb high becoming more likely? The only problem I have with this is that Market has not provided 'really good opportunity" to buy more shares as we asked investors to buy (up to 5%) which would have brought the total stocks holdings to about 40-45%, Well do not fight the tape as they say and if market clears second AP here then we could be heading into 1350 range for SPX, Also I expect YEN(quote) to weaken(get stronger in price) sometime early next week and I also expect GOLD to move to a short cycle low into DEC (FEB stupid boris, typo again)12. So, the stock market high, just does not seem to be in concert with all of this! Remember though, since YBR/wbr call for late FEB, early March low, perhaps the FEB 12 high better fits the scenario, cause we would get the sell on rally not on decline, right? so the mid FEB sell could give YBR what it wants(low Early march)

11:52 ET, Having all that said, There maybe a little reason to get overly excited about things here. CNBC could play every day as if it was a SUPERBOWL game, but we could be in what I call meandering( love this word, what would i do without it) phase, where market just meanders into March and April without making big noise and new lows? Then turn up higher into Jul/Aug and down into OCTober 2008. Would not that be classic and would not that justify our call to be in quality high yield stocks? You get paid to watch the grass grow!

12:16 ET, Dear John, thanks, YOU SEE JPY status 1,1,0,1,0 is short term JPY strong indicator and stocks-weak indication. So, for a while this morning market seemd to swim against that, but now turned lower. I hate to say this word again, but if are to get the MDS buy on a low volatility meandering move, it would be tough thing for a short term intrady trader as the swings may diminsh. BUT for highyield quality stocks, that is NIRVANA

Ok, now let us look at the following possibilities if we close on the downside today(sharply)

One - we get the lows by next mid week and turn up sharply.
Two- we do not turn up sharply and contiue lower into Early March
both of these scenarios could be within the confines of meandering ( which is where my preferred forecast is, PERHAPS BECAUSE I BADLY NEED VACATION FROM FRIKIN MARKETS(:- )

14:30 ET, with the way JPY acted today, we can get nothing but meandering. 50c range today in JPY! does that sum it up or what?

So, let us say(almost sure) we get a buy today in Stock Market. that would mean that a trader puts on close to 15-20% of trading capital to work ( long in this case). Waits for next couple days and puts antohter 15-20% if the position is still available ( market is lower). For an INVESTOR though we are already at where I think we should be in Stocks at this juncture. So nothing to do.
(CaVEATE, Trader, better put the Long on the Open, to prevent having sleepless weekend)

Thursday, February 07, 2008

Thanks For Being With US

I cut of the text from the graph accidentally, So, the MDS will, most likely be available only on the pay bases to any new member. Members that have been with us long time will receive it free, but via email.


please see the updated(Thanks Ivan) GROUPTATION link for latest ASSET graphs.
Dear Readers The National SOPITALIST Casino will soon be closed for today and the Wall Street ( WELFARE STATE ) will go to burbs to count money they screwed ordinary citizens out of. We did not trade today, but suggested to nibble for INVESTORS. not a decivisive day, but it could change the configuration of things. Dear Lag has reported scratching(almost) trades and still holds SRS from higher. So , we shell see tomorrow how MDS looks.




Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Thanks For Being With Us


Dear Readers The National SOPITALIST Casino will soon be closed for today and the Wall Street ( WELFARE STATE ) will go to burbs to count money they screwed ordinary citizens out of . We traded today and got a quick 20c gain on the half of the position and stoped another half breakeven. Market closed lower as expected. Dear Lag reported gains as well as John. Waiting for MDS to announce the BUY signal

Slightly late with calculations. Please stay tuned!

Time Cycles for today are indicating rough sliding into 11 ET and 14 ET, no guarantees , but that is one cycle interpretation.
Please keep in mind that a bottom comes between 7-13 Feb
N QQQQ 42.23,42.03,41.73 - 42.83, 43.00
N SPX 1316, 1313 - 1330
Investors need to nibble and accumulate 5% or so across next 2-3 trading days, if market cooperates
11:04 ET, we could mark top of the market today at this time! if JPY does not go over 106.73
11:38 ET, Market could not react to jpy advance, does it know this was a fake?
15:04 ET, was that entire JPY move FAKE?
so, what does a day like this , neither here nor there do for MDS, I am not sure, but I am inclined to think that it has not generated a buy signal today, implication being that perhaps we have a sharp move tomorrow.

Attraction Points

N QQQQ 43.67,43.58 - 43.90,43.99 ,43.20,43.41
N SPX 1334,1330 - 1346,1349, 1353
10:10 ET, in my opinion low risk opportunity may come at 1st SPX or second. Watch Carefully

10:25 ET, was anybody able to catch the Apoint on Q's , I am short from 43.99 and lowering stop down to breakeven, Well I know LAG, and IVAN/JOHN are short already...
10:30 ET, took 1/2 profit 43.78
10:38 ET, out breakeven 43.99 on half. Those suckers must have read my remarks, I think we move lower still, but I am not chasing markets ever.
12:56 ET, Ok the Bools(:- of the Nasdaq pushed the Q's couple cents close to the third Attraction Point and got recjected, since then we moved lower steadily.
13:57 ET, we are now at first on Q's looks like passing it. If you are still short, take some profits ( 1/3 rd or someghing)
13:58 ET, At the second , almost on Q's
14:13 ET, Q's approaching third
14:21 ET, nasdaq kissed third at 43.09, BROKE? 42.71, 42.30 are 4rth and 5th!
14:28 ET, Third is not broken, YET

Tuesday, February 05, 2008

Thanks For Being With Us

Visit updated(Thanks Ivan) GROUPTATION Link for ASSET OSCILLATORS. Notice the BANKS Oscillator, looks like STONG SELL, if market tanks BANKS and TECH will lead?


Dear Readers The National SOPITALIST Casino will soon be closed for today and the Wall Street ( WELFARE STATE ) will go to burbs to count money they screwed ordinary citizens out of. We did not trade today, nothing has been resolved on the MDS level Still in sell mode and waiting for a BUY. GOLD took a dive and dollar had a nice gain. Energy, DITTO GOLD and , FIXED INCOME enjoyed another nice day.

This is just a copy of comments with Dear Sharon about where SHEKEL may go
boris said...
Dear Sharon,Haviest support zone for shekel lies at 3.44 to 3.57(we are there now).If this band is broken down we could go to 3.35 and 3.12 ...We do not want to discuss break of this area! not now... Cause if we do break this level there is hell to break and/or freeze...Timing wise we have mid feb 6 and 16 and Early April as possible dates for the bottom. Good Trading
2/04/2008 2:24 AM

03;11 ET 2/6/2008, Shekel has never dropped even one penny below 3.57 and stands around 3.63 at this time.

03:29 ET, Pressure gages indicate elevated BUY pressures and subdued SELL pressures. MDS stands still on SELL
03:52 ET, AFRICA=24 ( AFIL, Israeli stock from TA-100 index). Mission Accomplished. countdown was conducted on this stock from 7 monhts and 48 points ago and now countdown is finished. Africa low today 24,000. New lows are forthcoming and stay tuned. The countdown was online at http://www.globs.co.il/ Wall STreet Forum
09:28 et, As i noted yesterday the GOLD was stretched too far on the 60 min chart and we see the reaction ( somewhat delayed , today)

Attraction Points( Apoints)



Dear Ivan thanks for posting the GOUPTATION update, I am not sure about your goals in JPY, but if you are thinking of dishing it out, then 107.30 - 107.50 is a desirable area to do it. Now, I would more like trail it, with acceptable loss stop, but it is up to you.

spx Day projections 1370 - 1404
$US is having nice gains today. It is about time for our US brothers to get the break in their money purchasing power!

06:12 ET, please note the StockSystem status turned into BSSS , MDS remains on the Sell signal, with no turn in sight yet.
08:35 ET , Dollar is stronger and everything is down. Do we need more evidence that the enritre world was living on money stolen, with USA governments help from Americans savers? look at Gold losing another 15 today and Silver down 26 cents.

09:22 ET, I do not know about you, but I am impressed, How could $US be standing on its legs after this PMI nonemanufacturing report? Services were supposed to save our economy, no competition for gods sake! But Dollar , while losing some against JPY stands still strong against EURO currencies and Pathetic GOLD. It is telling something my friends. $US is on its way up from the death bed! Or if you like it better, the entire world is just about to join the US into cemetery!


Now, I know a lot of gold bulls are cursing me, but nobody cursed me when I said buy gold, cause it is your last chance, in July 2007? You see i am not selling anything to anybody except my honest opnion and desire to help those that need it. If you listen to gold bugs , many of them are really gold promoters and they want you to buy gold( sometimes from their hands). I have no such conflicts and I call it the way it is for your sake and for GODS sake

N QQQQ 43.87,43.68,43.36,42.96 - 44.72,44.91
N SPX 1348,1342 - 1365,1372

12:29 ET Gold is oversold on 60 min bases, correctiver rally is possible any time
13:10 et, As Dear Lag noted we have entered a bad stretch here and we know MDS is anticpating a sharp move lower to get long ha! so, you have been warned. Q's at Second, what is remarkable here is that in some sort of a sign of decoupling, Dollar is slithly up against YEN, we shell see if this beginning of something
14:15 ET, this time frame could indicate turn down(more likely) or up
15:12 ET, after a little headfake they took the market down (:- Manipulators!, NOW time is close to take market up a bit? , Q's have turned only couple cents away from 43.68 Second! with exhaustion bar