Saturday, May 30, 2009

Armageddon?

Our Long time subscriber Istvan Cezarfi send us this url: clickme-> Confused? Armageddon?
Ok, You can either stay confused or unconfused, but we can only tell you this. While we have as many questions as this article raises, we have infinitely more answers.

1) Our AP system has said in no uncertain terms that 666 was possible on SPX and it was a buy
2) While other moan of all the possibilities, we do have Major outlines and they are given 3-6-12 months or even 20-100 year ahead ( for the right price).
3) We know our infliction points and wait for them, till then play the game of stupid or relaxed as one would prefer to call it.

To make the world easier for you and present possible turning points in everything ( because currency turns lead all other turns).
One or more years (re)Subscriber before the deadline of June 2 2009, will get the personal, signed copy of the One year forward outline/projection of your native currency as a bonus for subscription.
SEE
click>Renewal Season end 6/02
SEE click>Services & Fees



WhoIsBernankeStimulating?
Well, Look at the picture and tell me please, that is who our central bank cares for. That is who our multinationals care for as well, they run to invest our diminished Dollar into these countries. Dear Obama, I thought that was not what you campaigned for is it?

Thursday, May 28, 2009

9% UNG, In A Single Day, Subscribed Yet?

click->http://english.pravda.ru/opinion/columnists/107459-0/
Very Interesting Article Showing How Russians Thinks Of America(ns). Dear John, gave us this address, which among other things says:
The proud American will go down into his slavery with out a fight, beating his chest and proclaiming to the world, how free he really is. the world will only snicker

Virginia, We Have Come Long Way

Market Better watch each step carefully

Until 6/2 (5/31 was a weekend and inconvenient for many) long term subscribers can take advantage of no fee increase subscriptions. After that all fees will be new and higher.

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Due to the automation and efficiencies achieved in AP production and Loyalty shown by long term subscribers(one year and more)...
You Dear Subscriber are eligible to resubscribe to our services at the original costs. That is you can rejoin at a cost you, initially payed for the service. This is our way saying thank you for being with us.
New Subscribers will pay newer higher fees, as indicated at Fees and Services link.
As our recognition of the longer term subscribers renewing for one year , will get from us a gift of YBR projection for half year ahead every three months.
As our recognition of the longer term subscribers renewing for two years, will get the YBR and SEEFUTURE projections half year

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Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Huge, Volume, Huge Rally is there follow up?

Until 6/2 (5/31 was a weekend and inconvenient for may) long term subscribers can take advantage of no fee increase subscriptions. After that all fees will be new and higher.
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Due to the automation and efficiencies achieved in AP production and Loyalty shown by long term subscribers(one year and more)...
You Dear Subscriber are eligible to resubscribe to our services at the original costs. That is you can rejoin at a cost you, initially payed for the service. This is our way saying thank you for being with us.
New Subscribers will pay newer higher fees, as indicated at Fees and Services link.
As our recognition of the longer term subscribers renewing for one year , will get from us a gift of YBR projection for half year ahead every three months.
As our recognition of the longer term subscribers renewing for two years, will get the YBR and SEEFUTURE projections half year
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Dear Readers, market staged the strong move up on a huge volume. By no means though it is out of the woods, it remains to see if it can follow up on that action. Meanwhile the PCratios is not getting much frrendlier for bulls, but it could go sideways and not interrupt the rally either.

Saturday, May 23, 2009

Subscription Renewal Ends 5/31

Until 5/31/ long term subscribers can take advantage of no fee increase subscriptions. After that all fees will be new and higher.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Due to the automation and efficiencies achieved in AP production and Loyalty shown by long term subscribers... You Dear Subscriber are eligible to resubscribe to our services at the original costs. That is you can rejoin at a cost you, initially payed for the service. This is our way saying thank you for being with us. New Subscribers will pay newer higher fees, as indicated at Fees and Services link.
As our recognition of the longer term subscribers renewing for one year , will get from us a gift of YBR projection for half year ahead every three months.
As our recognition of the longer term subscribers renewing for two year, will get the YBR and SEEFUTURE projections half year ahead every three months.

Friday, May 22, 2009

Would like to see some rally, but may not

Gold, is moving ahead. We thought that we need one more decline in GOLD to go long, see the GOLD asset oscillator few posts below. Well, guess what, right after that post we got a quick retrace of 17 dollars back, but that was exactly top of the daily channel we watched. Now, that was a critical point and I certainly could not ignore the fact that GOLD did not brak down at that critical point and therefore that changed my critical thinking about it. Regardless of what I thought, gold seemed ready to go and I s tarted advising that while one might SHORT TERM test gold at some resistance points, the intermediate trend seems to have changed and after market fell hard, it became even clearer that Gold was to be left alone or ride it if you ar long. I am long in my Assset Allocation at the core level, but not long at the speculative , investment level. Well, you can not get them all. IF Silver also clears the 14.99 then it would joing gold into the uptrend all the way. Needless to say that Currencies are in the uptrends as well.
Now, none of that means anything , we could crash tomorrow in all ANTIDOLLAR, but facts are facts. Trends are up for ANTIDOLLAR.

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

getting there

Please do not view what we say here advice to sell or buy anything. We have tools to fine tune what we say/see here and that is preserved for subscribers. Sometimes between the notice of market decline and actual decline there could be good 50-100 spx points. you do not want to trade on this notice.


Markets are going for their own demise? ( short term at least). This market is very , very overextneded. There is hardly any other way to describe what we have here.


Tuesday, May 19, 2009

How To Read Asset Graph Example2







This is another example of Asset Chart using. While the move higher is never guaranteed , no matter what the reading of YELLOW oscillator is, it is highly likely that in the bull market the readings of oscillator above 85, will most of the time cause the market jump. Market is now in an intermediate term(at least) bull phase and that is not disputable. So, there, another example of absolutely incredible properties of asset oscillators. Remember they are not price oscillators which are CONSTANTLY MANIPULATED by big boyz. These are market , true, pressure oscillators.



Monday, May 18, 2009

Trading Without Ulcers

Dear Reader.
We support two very diametrically different type of subscribers/traders with recommended trades.
1) Asset Allocators, our main specialty
2) Short/Intermediate term trading.
We give the tools and occasional recommendations for Short term traders and None of our trades, in that category have lost money or enough to count for more than coffee money, usually less than $50. Some of these trades made as much as 120 EMINI points on a single trade. For a Short/Intermediate term trader to follow these trades, they need to be with me that day , that hour , that minute/second when I issue a trade reco. Like at 666 in Emini. Even though all subscribers knew 666 for over couple months to be a desirable entry point, I never issued a standing order to buy the emini at 666. Only on march 6 faithful Friday, I did so and with one(1)(:-! emini Point as stop loss trader was able to pocket 120 points. That is 120 RR(Reward to Risk) Ratio. Unheard of anytime, anywhere by anybody. Why, because we want to trade without ulcers and placing buy EMINI at 666 with 649 as a stop loss order is not how I trade. I used to do that and was a loser. Now, I have a ZERO(0) pain threshold. If you like , trading without ulcers then this site is for you. I do not want anybody of my subscribers to get ulcers and they will never/ever get a trade from me that will have more than coffee money at risk. That is it. It is your choice and this is your expectation when you join us as a subscriber. You need to be with me when that trade is placed or wait for another trade( sorry BUS(:- ).
Asset Allocators ( I love them) are even more relaxed. They may not follow me on a minute by minute basis, but it is nice if they can read my comments daily( morning or evening ) and see if I have done any balancing. That is it.

This is trading without ulcers. That is what we do. If you can find another service that trades like us, grab them for you LIFE ( I MEAN IT). Or come with us and we will teach you how be unique , near, ZERO(0) risk trader. If do not fit either one of these two categories, please do not subscribe to our services.

Having all that said, any kind of trader can find our tools absolutely incomparable on the net. These traders may have so much self developed discipline, that they never need or want our recommendations. Of course they are free to use our services any way that fits them.

In the end I write this, so that every (potential) subscriber looks at this and sets the correct expectations for themselves. I sincerely hope that this is a clear as ZERO clouds day in my beloved city of San Diego(:-
Thanks Dear Readers
It must be stated that, I , personally have never found any system that fit the criteria of near zero risk trades. It has only become possible after I have developed the Attraction Points. I know that an experienced trader can discern that an Attraction Point is about to become a rejection point and place an almost ZERO risk trade. It is not that I did not desire the near Zero risk trading, I just never had a system that allowed that before AP system development.

Saturday, May 16, 2009

How To Read Asset Graph Example1


The Example of Asset Chart Below Depitcts Currrent/Relevant Information, as well as, illustrates how important these charts are for an investor/trader. Please Enjoy Reading it. These charts are part of Tailored Service Subscription.

Friday, May 15, 2009

Going for the top?


892.85 895.62 900.11 905.71 spx 881.17 878.40 873.91 868.31

We rallied yesterday. Not too strong, but nevertheless gain. We could come down today, but equal possibility exists to plow higher here, which is where we can make some important decisions.

Thursday, May 14, 2009

Subscription Season

Due to the automation and efficiencies achieved in AP production and Loyalty shown by long term subscribers... You Dear Subscriber are eligible to resubscribe to our services at the original costs. That is you can rejoin at a cost you, initially payed for the service. This is our way saying thank you for being with us.

New Subscribers will pay newer higher fees, as indicated at Fees and Services link.

Also, as our recognition of the longer term (re)subscribers ( one year ), will get from us a gift of YBR projection for half year ahead every three months. Two year (re)subscribers will get the YBR and SEEFUTURE projections half year ahead every three months.

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Market Is showing Its Own Mortality

892.86 895.63 900.12 905.71 spx 881.17 878.40 873.91 868.3
Market has declined and, so far, it is not panic, but any decline lower immediately from here will show that this rally a lot more vulnerable than people thought. Yet, It is hard to imagine we will not have some rally ahead of us, because the rally may not end so abruptly ( at least, i think so).

Market To lavitate for a while more




896.24 898.78 902.89 908.04 spx 885.52 882.98 878.86 873.73






The markets have recovered, right after we advised to take most of profits. OK! who knows, maybe Dear Bernanke is my friend indeed, but he did not do anything yesterday did he(:-




In any case, the PCRatio is still tired, but could stay this way and frustrate bulls and bears for a while. We key on our pressure charts though to tell us when the next upside exahustion has arrived.



Yes, and if would like AP(Attraction Point) Miracles, look at the previous post and see how APs were hit and revesed. Now, the picture is missing the low of yesterday reversal , which also hapenned hair away from fifth low AP on hourly bases ( ILAP)

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Market at crossroads, but not done








910.97
912.95
916.16
920.16
spx
902.61
900.63
897.42
893.43





Economic News coming












Dear Readers, The market looked like crached yesterday, but every time it does so, it comes back. We need to see one serious crach to start counting down the top in the market. The PCratio is on the Bear Side now and could remain that way for a while. So, While market may have uphill battle , it is not ready to give up either. We need one or more MDS cycles to see market crack and will be looking to our turn dates to check up on those conditions.

Monday, May 11, 2009

From Passover To Passover, Challenge

920.99 925.06 931.65 939.87 spx 903.82 899.74 893.15 884.9


Please see MEGA CALLS on this site or "Shekels on Dollar" at the http://www.safehaven.com/ , archives "boris chikvashvili"

This picture here is a challenge to anyone who thinks they can forecast. If they can produce any forecast of over one year long with this precision, I will warship the land they walk on!

And more so, if anybody can produce the YBR ( see next post) type of prediction for 2 years with that precision, I will , forever, bow to that person.
We have sold the market today 0.5 away from the daily session high of 916.50. Hallelujah!

Saturday, May 09, 2009

Help Me With This question Please

New Subscription Season is starting now
Due to the automation and efficiencies achieved in AP production and Loyalty shown by long term subscribers... You Dear Subscriber are eligible to resubscribe to our services at the original costs. That is you can rejoin at a cost you, initially payed for the service. This is our way saying thank you for being with us. New Subscribers will pay newer higher fees, as indicated at Fees and Services link. Also, as our recognition of the longer term (re)subscribers ( one year ), will get from us a gift of YBR projection for half year ahead every three months. Two year (re)subscribers will get the YBR and SEEFUTURE projections half year ahead every three months.

Help me answer the question Please? What are we experiencing? Is this a bear market rally or cyclical bear rally?

Please understand, there are these nagging questions ever since 666 was hit on SPX. Is this rally
1) Secular Bull Market rally
2) Cyclical Bull Run within General Bear Market
3) Bear Market Rally
Ok, what the hell are these terms?
Here we go. Secular Bull market is , if you can imagine, when every 3,4 year we get new high in the market( on a real , noninflationary market bases). Examples are years 1949-1963 rally, and 1982-2000 rally. Cyclical bull run is a rally like 1973 rally and rallies till 1982 that, on inflation adjusted bases did not go over highs of 1967, but reached almost as high and higher on nominal bases. And then there are bear market rallies , like all rallies in the period of 1930-1932. where the market kept making newer lows and certainly not reaching the highs of previous 4-5 years.

Ok, now that we have defined, more or less , what we mean by terms. Where are we? Help me please!
I think we are in either Cyclical bull run or in Bear Market rally. Certainly not in the Secular Bull Market. Having that said, when Am I going to know and tell you that we are or are not in a Bear market rally. What difference does that make? Ok, here is the difference it makes. If we are in 1930-1932 type Bear market rally, then we should just about be crapping out and stopping any rise above where we are. Anything else would seem to be time and price wise out of character from that bear market. On the other hand if we are in the Cyclical bull run. Guess what? We could go as high as 1600 on SPX and at least 1060 may not too far for this rally eventually. Well looking at YBR one may get some answers, but I cannot divulge that at this point.

Regardless, I can let you in on the secret. There is only one category, ONE ONLY(YES, HALLELUJAH!) that will keep you above the water , housed and clothed and safe in all three market environments and even more so, if we are not in the SECULAR bull market( which we claim we are not in).

YES , that is a SAFE DIVIDEND PLAY.

America, Do you Hear this? In spite of my broken ENGLISH that gets bad day by day, I hope I can still say this in a way that all of you can UNDERSTAND. Play of SAFE DIVIDEND was the PLAY and in many senses is still the Investment PLAY you want to go with, regardless of where you think market goes.

So, For DUMMIES LIKE me. It is was/is the easiest decision to put Portion of my money in the SAFE DIVIDEND PLAY that will keep my family supported No MATTER how well my brain perceives the current investment environment.

I LOVE TO DO OK, even when I am wrong and the method I preach Is the Methods I use and it is already proving a gold mine to anyone who listens.
While details are preserved for SUBSCRIBERS, I have told you FREE, Dear Fellow Citizen how to survive and what to do. God Bless you. I think, though I kept my promise of helping you through these tough times. I can only hope , you are listening and doing what needs to be done

Friday, May 08, 2009

Sign Of Hope For Bears


My apologies for gettint to these pictures From Dear Ralph too late. Shame on me. Just forgot with all other things going. Thanks Dear Ralph








926.39 929.06 933.39 938.78 spx 915.13 912.46 908.13 902.74










Thursday, May 07, 2009

Day Two Of Testing




931.91
933.36
935.71
938.64
spx
925.80
924.35
922.00
919.07





All markets are under test today. Everything is at the crossroads. Dollar Strength suggested by our Dollar Asset chart ( see few posts down) could dictate landscape for a while. If Dollar is, indeed, to just get stronger then the consequences are clear. Everything else, more or less down to various degree. Especially EURO down. Some securities may survive a bit better. Like Gold and Stocks Market, but... When/If Dollar goes higher here the only thing good to be in, will be CASH DOLLAR. As traders, we have idea where things may go, but as traders we never risk much to achieve our goals. We do not give here the tactics and details of trades, but we do have them and subscribers only get those.

Wednesday, May 06, 2009

Looks Ripe For a test

915.2645
916.7145
919.0635
921.9925
spx
909.1455
907.6955
905.3465
902.4175


DID YOU REMEMBER OUR FAX RECOMMENDATION? SEE PICTURE


I mean the shorting test for the market. Kind of a "STRESS TEST" for DOW(n)? JONES(:-. Yesterday I suggested shorting at the top of the range and market has gone back above that overnight , reaching the old high area and now we are down over 12 points. So, one can not always play the COFFEE money stop and go away. EIther a small position should be played overnight or none. So, now, perhpas if market pops, we can administer a STRESS TEST of ours on it and sell it, but if market goes down without giving a chance that is fine too. We are never chasing anything. I personally have reduced more of my exposure to everhing and have either protected and/or rebalanced things in a way that I am now less in everything,but cash. So my cash is now at 50%, while stocks are protected , but 15% and Commodities and bonds have been reduced to 15 and 20% respectively.

Monday, May 04, 2009

Markets Waiting For resolution


This info os for 5/5/2009

Please make correction to the text inside Arrow ( better make higher shoulder is what I meant there).





Markets are still , mostly meandering in the trends started last month, but things need to come to resolutions soon. We shorted EMINI at 883, and got to 862 , I hope nobody is holding too much shorts and collected profits along the way. Whatever shorts are left should be stopped at break even.