Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Another Lucky Guess?


This may have been another lucky guess, in time and price(:-, see the chart, please

118 comments:

boris said...

Please Note,
Dear Don
Notieced that my YBR forecast, while pretty similar to the last one( in portions visibile in both old and new graphs) is not exactly the same(:- ! ?
Yes, it is not the same, though amazingly similar in near term forecast. Going out later it is not exactly similar.

So, I am working to redo the forecast. It is easy, but there is no urgency due to the similarity.

I will get it done this weekend and update you.

Those who received onle one month update, will not receive new update as it will not, almost, at all , differ from the previous forecast.


What was the problem?

Not much, Wile shifting the date, I failed to calculate how much is 17 - 6 and equated it with 7. Nice Ha, who the hell gave me the Degrees with Distinction in Science.

I wonder about it myself, sometimes(:-


GOod Trading Dear Subscribers

boris said...

Dear Reader
As you look at the front page of this site today, you see two pictures aligned in the first two blogs.

Please note the freakin MIRROR
symmetry betweeen the EMINI graphs on them. Especially the predicted parts ( one today and another yesterday)?

Yeah, visual affects(:-

Good Trading All

boris said...

SwissProj
Chart
Updated
On Asset Area

Vishal said...

Dear Boris, swissproj005 shows curtain after December, is it the right chart? swissproj004 had no curtain after December

cheers

boris said...

Sorry,
The updated SwissyProj is
at Asset Area
GOod Tradiang

boris said...

Dear Vishal,
This is just an update, to show, how the Dark line caught up with the red(predictor line)

THis is not new to you.
YOu , as you suggest already, have the prediction that goes longer than this one

Just a visual update of the PREDICTED line

Good Trading Dear Friend Vishal

Sergio said...

Dear Xerxes,

Gimme euros is not doing very well recently..let´s see

ofir said...

Boris,

Did you hear Stanely Fischer came back to the market yesterday, buying 100-200 million dollars?
He is amazing...

xerxes said...

Well Dear Sergio .... price zigs and zags every now and then so we must suffer a bit here ... but don't forget that we came from 1.23xx :-)

xerxes said...

AUD Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)(3Q) 0.2% 0.4% 0.6%

AUDUSD didn't enjoy the low print for Austalian GDP this morning Dear Boris .... all the talking heads on bloomberg had been talking up the land down under, all year long, as a boom town ... i guess they're amateurs at statistic massage :-)

xerxes said...

Good Morning Dear Boris

boris said...

Dear Ofir,
Thanks, Yes, I hear the
Central Bank coming back to
support the buck.

It is amazing endeed.
But I think the real story is not the dollar targeting.
The real story is EURO targeting.

Shekel got too strong against EURO and that worries more Israeli economy than the Dollar weakness.

The truth is Israls exports to EUROPE are much more exchange rate sensitive than the HITHECH exports to USA

Good Trading Dear Ofir

boris said...

Good Morning Dear Xerxes
Good Trading TO you

John said...

Boris

good morning

walk time yet?

old john

boris said...

Dear John, I mnaged to do only 30 Minutes today.

Hope to make it up tomorrow.(:-
THans Dearest Friend John
Good Morning And Trading to you

xerxes said...

A trader guest on Bloomberg says we're in the middle of the "Santa Claus" rally as I type Dear Boris

boris said...

info for emini on Market Report
Unable to produce chart

Try as I may!
sorry

boris said...

see update on Market Report

boris said...

Let it make new high,
Otherwise do not buy it, please

xerxes said...

Now there is going to be a Hollywood Stock Exchange HSX, Dear Boris ... Bernanke prints and we gamble all across the world ... The most important class one can take in university seems to have been statistics/quantitative & qualitative analysis :-)

boris said...

Dear Xerxes,
There is nothing new in that
That is what the fed was invented for.

So, that it can MANIPULATE peoples behavoir.

In normal terms this will be considered C R I M E against humanitiy to do that.

Can you imagine, there are organisations against

"A N I M A L C R U E L TY"

And there is not a single organisation tht deals with HUMAN CRUALTY, in the context of MONETARY EXPREIMENTS conducted against people.

AMAZING

Indeed it is amazing

Good Trading

boris said...

Strategy update
On Dot Net

Good Trading

Ralph said...

Dear Boris,

I posted in feedback area a couple of links to charts that I use and thought might be of interest to others.

Ralph said...

I should add that the charts are for short term trading.

boris said...

Dear Ralph,
Thank you so much for your input.
Everybody has a chance to see what is there and these indicators are pretty much stnadar on most quoting systmes ( META,ESIGNAL, QUOTE.COM etc.).
Those are very good parts of you short term trading decisions( As Ralph Indicates).

GOod Trading All and Dear Ralph, thanks again for your great input

boris said...

Memo Before Fed Announcment.
Please find it
at
Market Report

xerxes said...

Bloomberg says, Dear Boris, that there are now more USD bulls than bears ... Now that was a fast turnaround ... Few hundred pips and, boom, the crowd dumps euros so I need to say .... GimmeEuros :-)

boris said...

Good For you
Dear Xerxes

boris said...

One more update
On MarketReport
GOod Trading

xerxes said...

Good Morning Dear Boris ... I was a bit 'premature' in my GimmeEuro declaration yesterday :-)

Bloomberg guest from forex.com says to go long EURGBP, the loonie and of course to short EURUSD (trade of the day) short the yen, the kiwi and the aussie ...

Bloomberg reminds us that the USA is on the mend, qe is ending, interest rates will rise and the yen will supplant the buck as the funding currency of choice ....

Behold Bloomberg's resurgent buckeroo Dear Boris, Behold!! :-)

xerxes said...

Bloomberg says Greek credit rating is crumbling ... Woes in Austria also weighing on the 'overvalued' Euro Dear Boris ... Behold!

xerxes said...

Bloomberg is saying that Saxobank is predicting a series of 'black swan' events for 2010 Dear Boris ... stay tuned :-)

xerxes said...

Relic to 870 then 1500
Bunds 2.25%
RMB devalued by 5%
USDJPY to 110
3rd political party in USA
TSX to surge 50%
USA trade balance to turn positive

xerxes said...

So we should buy loonies and trade the TSX Dear Boris :-)

boris said...

Dear Xerxes
Good Morning and thank you
For a lot of info
GOod Trading Dear Friend

xerxes said...

Dismal retail sales in UK pounds the sterling Dear Boris :-)

What happened to the global economy Dear Boris ... All the data suddenly turned south on us .... I thought all the QE would lift us into a new and glorious era of prosperity ... Maybe they should just hire a few more government employees, pump up their salaries and pensions and trash the buck for all to be well ... Behold! That's the ticket ...

xerxes said...

Bloomberg says that nobody wants to buy euros Dear Boris ... The buck, they say, is rising by default ...

Relic dropped a Jackson so far Dear Boris ...

Wanderer said...

Dear Boris,
Good morning.
Thanks and good trading.

Bert

xerxes said...

Sara Eisen said: "...Watch out if your trading against the USD..." Dear Boris because of the "thin" holiday trading ....

Ivan said...

Hi Boris/All,
any comment on this SaxoBank calls for 2010:
http://www.tradingfloor.com/en/pages/Financial_News.aspx?blogid=773

In short:
1. Bunds yields will fall to 2.25%
2. VIX will fall to 14
3. CNY (China Yuan Renminbi) will be devalued by 5% vs. USD
4. Gold will fall to $870 in 2010 but will rise to $1500 in 2014
5. USDJPY to reach 110
6. Angry American public to form third party in the US
7. The US Social Security Trust Fund will go bust
8. The price of sugar will drop one third
9. TSE Small Index will rise by 50%
10. US trade balance will turn positive for first time in 34 years

boris said...

Dear Bert
Very Good Morning
and Good Trading
Dearest Friend Bert

xerxes said...

initial claims today Dear Boris

boris said...

Dear Ivan,Xerxes
I will not comment, online, on any of the SAXO projections.

We have our own projections and I stick by them.

Most of our subscribers( with one or more years of subscription ) have a perfect 6 months view of everything I view years ahead.

I am sure you will compare them with SAXO.

I prefer not to comment , online, though

Good Trading All

xerxes said...

So Stanley Fischer is not a bad currency trader Dear Boris :-)

John said...

Boris

good morning

old john

boris said...

Stanly Fischer has powers that other traders do not have. That does not make him a good trader. That just makes him another Sopitalist Dear Xerxes(:-

Good Trading Dear Friend Xerxes

boris said...

My Very Dear Freind John
Very Good Morning To you
And Good Trading

xerxes said...

Sometimes, Dear Boris, they don't say 'how', they just say 'how many' :-)

xerxes said...

What's in the 'monthly' file dear boris ... i can't open it for some unknown reason

Aboot-Bull said...

Dear xerxes ,

Fischer had done ntg special,
With EUR/USD traded at 1.4350 USD/ILS should have been 3.90 by now...

A-B

xerxes said...

Dear A-B ... Maybe it will get there :-)

boris said...

Well, Dear A-B
I agree with you. It should be 3.90 and the reason it is not is that Israeli Bank is the CRUDEST currency manipulator of the all.

Stanley Fischer though cannot stop the nature. Shekel will be there sooner or later.

As our outline indicates , THE BIGGEST SOPITALISTS try
VERY HARD
TO FAILE MY FORECASTS
And They will stop at nothing
TO MAKE IT LOOK FAILURE,
BUT

(:-

YOu can see what happened to manipulators, stronger they deviated from my predictions harder the nature pulled them to it (Just see My CHF/USD outline and the real price Match on the picture in this post).

It is truly amazing how the
BIGGEST OF THE SOPITALIST MANIPULATORS
ARE

P O W E L E S S

Against My forecasts try as they may. Because

God Is With me not with the SOPITALISTS, drunk with power they think they can throw me from thought process.

NO SUCH THING

DEAR CENTRAL HAKKERS( Sorry bANKERS (:- )

You will never defeat my forecasts for a long time, because, I'm a humble slave of GOD and you cannot enslave GODs SLAVE, which I chose to be, rather than be any ordinary mans slave, even as powerful as Central Bankers.

Good Trading Dear A-B

xerxes said...

Mot Justes Dear Boris :-)

boris said...

Well, For all to hear
If, when, Bank Of Israel
Keeps the rates forcebly at Shekel being higher than it should be.

PLEASE SELL THE ALL THE SHEKELS at the higher prices Stanley Fischer is keeping SHekel at.

Sell all SHEKELS to him, le him drown in them and then he will be ousted very soon for destruction of Israely Economy. Whose exports will soon be in the basement.

THe only way to deal with Manipulators is to manipulate them.

I can tell you know.

Isrealy economy is


I L L E Q U I P P E D

To deal with Shekel at these levels, Especially against EURO.

SO BUY the DOLLAR AND EURO form

THe Bank of Israel and sell them their own HIGH PRICED SHekels.

THat will teach them lesson.

Now , if you do inverse and by their Strong SHekels then all I can offer to you is the Prayer, because that is all you have.

Good Trading All

boris said...

emini225 at DotNet

boris said...

Please, note
any statments I made above about buying Dollar, EURO from BOI, it has its timing.

I do not recommend to be doing now!
And I do not recommend you do anything, if you do not know what you are doing.

All our annoumcements coem with disclaimers, because , we do not follow the system of single announcements.

When/if we buy/sell, we do it in appropriate time and price.

If you do not understand the markets , please do not do it, is inshort term, anything can happen and you are bound to abandon the positions, considering we neither promise or deliver updates to nonesubscribers

Good Trading All

Aboot-Bull said...

Dear Boris,

tnx, :-)

A-B

boris said...

Dear John
All
Sorry,
For some strange reason unable to collect 5 minute data.

Perhaps System is out of virtual mameory and unable to hold all calculations

Sorry about that,
Cannot reboot as other important things are running on this machine
Good Trading All

xerxes said...

Did you read about the "Gulfo" Dear Boris ... How should we trade it :-)

xerxes said...

EURCHF entering the crosshairs of the SNB Dear Boris -- Can it boost the buck as well ....

boris said...

Update
ON
DotNEt

xerxes said...

Could this be why they're selling euros Dear Boris:

(Reuters) - "Standard & Poor's on Wednesday put about 1.46 trillion euros ($2.127 trillion) worth of covered bonds on credit watch negative or developing, based on new criteria for rating such securities.

S&P's move could mean a raft of downgrades for these asset-backed bonds, which are a cheap funding tool for banks."

xerxes said...

UBS says to short EURUSD targeting 1.39xx ...

Goldmen are still long EURUSD

All, per Sara Eisner

boris said...

Dear Xerxes,
COvered Bonds.
OK,

I have told you.

They will find all reasons to move EURO lower, after we said it will!(:-

The only Central Bank that is resisting us(still) is BOI, but they will fall soon as well, not immediatly, I should say

Good Traidng Dear Xerxes

xerxes said...

They've trotted out a whole slew of reasons for the euro to sink ... no shortage of reasons ... I find the entire effort quite comical :-)

Klaatu said...

Dear Boris,
Great tactics/strategies these past few weeks. Many thanks.You may not make the Time magazine cover..but your Timing is the best I've ever seen.I nominate you Anti-Sopitalist of the Year.

Natural Gas futures up 7% to just under 6.000. Spot high last Jan was 6.240.
Good trading,
Klaatu

xerxes said...

Alice Rivlin says that the USA should get the debt/GDP ration down to 60% just like in the EU and as the IMF recommends over the next decade .... 40% would be far better but, she says, the problem is not what is happening now but those evil 'entitlements' .... That's right, billions for bankers is kool but SS checks for grandma are gonna ruin the country :-)

xerxes said...

And I 2nd that nomination Dear Klaatu

boris said...

Dear Klaatu,
Thank you for your confidence.

The spreads are doing well also.

I think that there is still a lot to go on the spreads as well, but I would not want to push in , unless the GOD DAM thing corrects and it does not seem to wnat to(:-

Good Trading Dear Klaatu

xerxes said...

Dec. 17 (Bloomberg) -- European Central Bank officials are moving closer to forcing banks to provide more information about the collateral they give the ECB in return for loans.

The ECB is trying to better monitor the quality of the assets it’s holding in return for the funds it’s pumped into the European banking system during the crisis. European banks have created about 1.1 trillion euros ($1.6 trillion) of asset-backed securities since June 2007, which they can use as collateral for ECB loans.

Under the terms of the collateral consultation, officials want banks to provide information about individual loans such as the value of the property backing a mortgage, details on cash flow and whether the borrower is in arrears, the people said.

What a rush Dear Boris ... The ECB doesn't know what they bought ... Boom Boom Kaboom

xerxes said...

The relic dropped a Jackson a Hamilton and a Lincoln at this moment Dear Boris ... Will we hit a Grant today :-)

xerxes said...

Dec. 16 (Bloomberg) -- "Goldman Sachs Group Inc. recommended its clients buy the euro versus the dollar, forecasting the common European currency will rise to $1.55 in three months amid an anemic U.S. economic recovery".

boris said...

Gold could be ready to run for next 20 minutes
unless GLD comes below 108.4

boris said...

it could run ,
uless 108.16 is violated in next 5 minutes( run could last 15-20 minutes)

boris said...

once/if 108.48 is taken out we could have a quick run to 109

boris said...

sorry, once 108.51 is taken out
run to 109 will be very likely

boris said...

if 108.21 taken out on the downside
it is no go

boris said...

about 5 minutes left for the run
It is now or never

boris said...

time window for run has been exhausted,

boris said...

108.51 was not taken out.
If it could take that out, there is still some chance, but original time count is GONE

boris said...

108.61 next stop 108.70

jimww said...

Dear Boris Merry christmass,....hehehe oops er happy holidays ....hehehe ooops er have a nice winter soltice hehehe oops er ,hope you have great candle liteing day , oops er , hope you celebrate a great pharsee sanduce, esssene , deadsea scrolls , brother of atum/moses day .....keep walking day ....hehehe. Luv ya JIM W.

boris said...

All the same
to you and loved ones
Dear Jim,
Good Trading to you
Dear Friend

Mike Truong said...

dear Boris,

Happy holidays to you and your family. Your shekels call is intriguing but I have yet to find a broker that trade such pairs. Could you point me in the correct direction?

Thanks dear Boris,

Michael

xerxes said...

The relic moving towards a Grant loss today ...

boris said...

Dear Xerxes, Looks like we are getting an ineresting boucne of 1.43
What did I say in this morning comments?

If we are wrong on the Dollar top here and there is more to go , then the place whwere there is a

S U P E R S T R O N G Support is

1.43

Well,
THere is nothing to add for now.

1.43 also marked about same time the bottom, for today at least in gold as well.

I cannot swear for tomorrow,
but for today our support area did a great job of SUPPORTING
\

Good Trading Dear Xerxes

John said...

Boris

thanks

I paid attention and will do ok

old john

boris said...

Dear Michael,
Thtere are so many forex dealers.
I really do not go through them.

But, I think/know that Metatrader has the ILS pairs
like USDILS EURILS etc.
Also there are so many Israeli Forext dealers on the net.

EasYForex comes to mind.
They should be able to help with this.

Metatrader on AMeritrade seems to have it.

If you cannot decided and really want it, I can suggest to you one.

But I preferr to stay neutral on these things and may the best( by your impression) win your business if you so desire.

THanks Dear Michael.

"I would type in GOOGLE"
This

"forext trading israel"

Good Trading Very Dear Friend Michael

boris said...

Dear John,
Enjoy My Very Dear Friend

Thanks for Listning(:-

Good Trading Dear John

boris said...

Comment From our Subscriber
At Dot Net

Good Trading All

boris said...

Update
ON DotNet

ofir said...

Dear Boris,

Do you think BOI's intervention buyig Dollars selling Shekels actually scheives the inverted result by inviting speculators to sell him dollars? If this is your view, what will cause the dollar to reach 3.90....?

boris said...

Dear Ofir,
I am not funtamental analyst and have committed sin by getting into fundamentals of ILS. Sorry, I do not care what will cause Dollar to go up. It will go up that is what my forecasts say(:-

We saw it in EURO, they carried it up so high, but then they had to kill it, becuase that is what charts forecast. That is all.

But not to be totally irresponsive to your question is this. At some point BOZOS selling the Dollars EUROS to Fischer will run out. There will be no more EUROS and DOLLARS left under the mattress for Fishcer to buy and then he will be forced to run up the Dollal and down SHEKEL to actually make money on his purchases. He is not stupid after all. He would like to buy low and sell high and he can manipulate the market like nobody else. At least he can manipulate BOZOS for sure, by scaring them that SHEKEL is going higher ( by kipping the SHEKEL high) and bying Dollars/EUROS from them.

By the way this is the classic way to manipulate the market. And he is doing it.

GOod Trading Dear Ofir

boris said...

Sorry,
For older data in the AP tables
Now it is all fixed
I thought I have updated them and left for some personal things and found out that I forgot to update the tables from yesterday

Now, all is fixed
Good Trading All

xerxes said...

Good Morning & Thank you Dear Boris ...

Big move in futures already ... Crack-up boom today :-)

xerxes said...

Bill Gross raising cash ... We're reminded of this every 10 minutes on bloomberg dear boris

Wanderer said...

Dear Boris,
Good morning.
Thanks and good trading.

Bert

boris said...

Dear Bert,
Nice weekend and
GOod Trading
Dearest Friend Bert

Wanderer said...

You too, dear Boris.
Have a great weekend!

Bert

xerxes said...

Morgan Stanley has changed target for EURUSD from 1.62 to 1.32 by June 2010 Dear Boris ...

ofir said...

Dear Boris,

Thanks for your answers.
Appreciate it.

xerxes said...

The Goldmen chime in with their 2010 price predictions:

Crude Price target: $90
Natural gas Price target: $6

Precious metals:
Price targets:

Gold ‘10 – $1350
Silver ‘10 – $20

boris said...

Updates
On
Market Report

xerxes said...

Bloomberg says Iranian troops entered Iraq and surrounded some oil rigs, the reason for driving crude prices up this session :-)

xerxes said...

Adam Johnson says "No reason to be short oil" this weekend Dear Boris

boris said...

Emini226
at
DotNet

boris said...

About Iranian troops and OIL

I told You Dear Readers
Media and Iran and USA and ISrael and Nigeria and GOD knows what will do antyhing and everything necessary to Justify our stance ( DE JOUR) on OIL.

Rest My case!

xerxes said...

Persian tanks holding up antidollar Dear Boris :-)

xerxes said...

Tensions rising in Maysan ... Production issues in Alberta ...
Keeping crude prices on the boil Dear Boris

xerxes said...

They must have just announced a ceasefire in Maysan Dear Boris as USD bulls are rejoicing :-)

xerxes said...

ECB announced the need for massive bank writedowns and the Goldmen chimed in with more dire news about debts, etc., a toxic mix undermining the single currency Dear Boris ...

boris said...

So,
Where is Gimmie $s! Dear Xerxes

xerxes said...

BNP Paribas says we have a long-term trend change in EURUSD ...
Corporates, long-term investors, speculators are all going long the buck ... Biggest winning streak for the buckeroo since June ... All this courtesy of Sara Eisen, Bloomboog News Dear Boris :-)

xerxes said...

Not yet Dear Boris ... Not yet ... I don't want to jinx my trade :-)
Gimme Profits :-)

xerxes said...

A drawing by Raphael sold for 47 million USD ...

boris said...

Dear Xerxes,
For how much can I sell
Boris's drawing of OIL, predicting top in October.

Can you find out the price of this art work on the open market(:-

Good Trading Dear Xerxes

By the way, Iranian army left the Iraq, just as soon as they came.


Are these Iranians Great Sopitalists or what?

Do you know how much money was made in 3% quick jump in oil , by those who reported the

"IRANIAN INVASION"

Apparently, it was just couple Iranian Peasants chacing goat that wondered into "ENEMY AREA"( IRAQ of course).

And then it must have been our friends at AP or BBC or all other BSers in the news business that reported this as

An

INVASION of Iraqy OIL fields
By IRANIANS.


(:- (:- (:-

BS after BS from main Sopitalist Media

???????????????

boris said...

Update
On DotNet

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