Thursday, December 04, 2008

Attraction Points(Apoints) COMING UP

851.94 845.69 835.53 822.94 es
878.31 884.56 894.69 907.31

27.97 27.75 27.3 9 26.95 qqqq
28.89 29.11 29.47 29.92

92.445 92.305 92.077 91.795 jpy
93.035 93.175 93.402 93.685


853.84 848.19 839.01 827.63 es
877.69 883.34 892.49 903.90

767.00 762.58 755.40 746.50 xau
781.24 785.66 792.82 801.75

Outlook tooday is for a grind, Not up and not down, but preparation for eventual down move of sorts

12:05 ET, SWISSY in particular and EUROS in general are showing some strength. I believe it means that , absent new lows in SWISSY the Stock Markets in the world have bottomed. Now, we know YBR says... Yes, but those lows do not have to be lower than the lows of November.
Now what is the probability of SWISSY low has been seen? I would give it better than 60% chance at this point.

42 comments:

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

hello boris, i tried to sign into the "AP automation" site using my gmail format. i keep getting error message! which sign-in(screen) name and password should i use? help!
gorli

Vin said...

Good morning, Boris.

The new site is quite nice: slick and simple! One helpful feature might allow one to save a custom list of APs and display these in a table (much like the emails and your intraday posts).

Thanks for all that you do!

Vin said...

gorli,

my login is my [real firstname]_[real lastname]. Eg. John_Doe

The default password is as described in Boris' email.

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

Hi Boris,
Thanks for your help earlier. I am on the site and my question is, I cannot add my symbols and get AP's, am I supposed to be able to? Are the AP's you post on the blog "intraday"? I noticed that these are different from the AP's on the new site designated "daily".
Thanks,
Phil

boris said...

Dear Phil,

APs are selected fromthe drop down button for selection.

The id is :

Just look in your email. I sent to you.

Look at the FirstName_SecondName combo right in front of the subscription date.

Then use that as your ID and use the First Name as Password that is very simple.

Good Trading Dear Phil
If not clear, please email me your phone, I will assist you on the phone

Good Trading

boris said...

Dear Vin,
Thanks, We that approach in the Next version.

Meanwhile, please note that we will still be sending daily APs until you all got used to using the new site(:-

Good Trading

boris said...

Dear Gorli
I will email to you your coordinates

Good Trading

lagscrew said...

hope its down--just bought a very large position in SRS

John said...

Lagscrew,

I hope you are right too.


old john

lagscrew said...

ISEE #'s in the 140's--to high

boris said...

DEAR Readers, Subscribers,
Finally EUROS are on the attack

Good Trading

John said...

Boris,

thanx

old john

boris said...

Dear John,
Thanks and GOod Trading
My Very Dear Friend

Klaatu said...

Dear Boris,
Love your new site. Click on format is my style.
I've heard for many years that
they don't ring a bell at the bottom of the market.
I have a funny feeling that your new site will do just that, but
deaf to the sopitalists.
Just a few short months ago Bank
of England and Trichet were both keeping rates up to fight inflation.
This a.m., B.O.E. cut rates back to 1930's levels and ECB lowest in its 10 year history.Of course you clearly said these "bankers" would soon change their minds.
I read that if Britain's economy doesn't turn around in 12-18 months that they could default on their debt.What are your views on that possibilty? Could the B.Pound
drop to $1.00 ?
Also, the T-bonds seem to be parabolic. Could the bond futures
accelerate above 140 if stocks plunge?
I'm long Swissy and Euro.
Have major resistance on Dec Swiss at about 10 ticks below your 5th daily AP.
Many thanks for fighting the good fight for us all.
Good trading,
Klaatu

boris said...

Dear Klaatu,
You shall see that we have a new site extension that is dynamite, JOhn got a glinpse of it, but was asked to be quiet about it(:-
We will have our own internal messaging and alert systems and will be free to talk , whatever, without hinderence.

As you well know, I do not think we are out of woods in a longer term horizon, but it seems to me, that is very hard for USA market to go down more than 50% without intervening 30-50% rally. Can it be different now? Yes it can be.

Everybody Remembers how bearish I was on BRUTISH all along. Well, I have hardly changed my mind. Brutish will visity anything from 1 to 1.40 even if it takes 3-4 years, but for now it is oversold and could rally from January or so.


Dear Klaatu,
I have already outlined the FIXED income situation couple days ago, inicating the levels the 10 and 30 year can go. I think we are in the areay of Lowest interest rates we will see for next 30 years, but it looks like they could go and stay lower for a while. Numbers are there for observation. The bottoming times are best around FEB/July 2009.

FOR Interest rates, I will plce 10 Tnotes( TNX) in the big picture for people to follow the Longer term APs.

Good Trading My Dear Friend Klaatu

John said...

All,

I was the guest at the site.It is going to be great. Easy to use , even for a computer illiterate person like me. Great design- will be fantastic. If I could navigate it, anyone can.

old john

boris said...

Dear John,
I asked you to be quiet about it(:-

Thanks My Dear Friend

Good Trading

boris said...

And Yes,
I would like to thank all people in my team. Who have an incredible multiple years of experience in Computer design and automation and who worked tirelessly to bring you initial and next versions of the ANTISOPITALIST.

And I will name their names every occasion I have

Miriam,
Asif,
Ivan,
Dalibor,
James,
Boris,

Good Trading

ARAK said...

Dear Boris,

What is BRUTISH? Is it GBP?

boris said...

Dear Arak,
Indeed
Brutish is GBP.

If you search for BRUTISH on this site you will see how bearish I was on GBP even as it was around 2.12

Good Trading

boris said...

In, practically perfect harmony with the SEEFUTURE the entire energy complex is having no ENERGY(:-

Yes, SEEFUTURE works, sometimes it is one group of ANTIDOLLAR that is depressed and another times it is the other, but , in general, When SEEFUTURE points down, down the ANTIDOLLARS go.

Good Trading

boris said...

OK, so, the eventuality is today My Dear Readers, And Subscribers.

I thought it could take day of grind and then down. Just as well. Everything on was telling us that we were getting ready to go down and it is today, just as well.

Good Trading

Vin said...

Wow, Boris. In one of your emails from a week or two ago, you suggested that a power turn/top date might be 12/3. We shall see!

John said...

Boris,

thanx

old john

Vin said...

Quick question, Boris...

Do you prefer to use TradeStation to crunch your data or do you recommend some other source of historical intraday data and scripting? I'm thinking about experimenting with some ideas, and it looks like a bargain compared to the raw data feed subscriptions that I've come across.

Thanks!

boris said...

Dear Vin,
I have not tryed everything lately to compare, but I can say that one can do a lot with Tradestation that maybe harder to do elsewhere.

It is a good Lab!

Good Trading

Vin said...

Thanks, Boris.

Hm. This sell-off is rather weak so far.

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

Dear Boris,
Thanks for your answers on the Brutish and interest rates.
I'll start focusing on 10 yr notes
now,too.
YBR and see future seems to be incredibly accurate this week.
good trading.
Klaatu

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

Hello Dear Boris....

You spelled my first name wrong :-)
Doesn't matter....

When I try to screen intraday numbers I get computer code gibberish????

Franc and euro r the only scrip rising against the buck...Hanging man last week in former and inverted hammer in latter. Evening star in EurChf spelled trouble for euro and down she went. So it looks like the franc is top dog these days. But you knew that already Boris :-)

xerxes

Ralph said...

Boris asked me to post this chart for everyone. I sent it to him late last night.

Another trader that used to post on a different site is gracious enough to send a handful of annotated charts every evening. In the attached chart he explains how he thinks "they" engineered the late rally.

spx3min1204

I hope this works. My first attempt at creating a link to a chart.

Ralph

Ralph said...

While I am at it, here is another chart I setup after seeing the same (well, some of the indicators are different) from a poster at another site. $XII is an index of 75 stocks most widely held as among institutional investment portfolios. The index is designed to reflect the performance of their core stock holdings. Since I understand these big boys are responsible for about 50% of all the market volume each day, it's worth tracking what they are doing.

XII - Daily - 12-4-2008

If you look at the spike of the ratio of down volume to up volume on Monday, it seems to me that the institutions are still selling after driving the price up so that they can unload at the higher price.

Boris, please comment on this. Does this make sense to you? If so, might we not make one more new low at the next YBR date?

Thank you,
Ralph

John said...

Ralph,,

It works- thanx, very informative.

old john

Ralph said...

John,

I hope you're feeling better and the preparations for the move are going smoothly.

Take care,
Ralph

boris said...

Dear Xerxes,
Glad you logged in.

Yes, once in a while I get lucky(:-

Good Trading My Dear Friend.

boris said...

Dear Klaatu,
I am afraid, people might get Idea that YBR and SEEFUTURE should be so precise.

Of course, the cannot be. The fact that they are is amazing.

But one should expect that when SEEFUTURE is going down.

Gold And Oil can not possibly run up too much if at all.

That is the correct thinking that does not get one in trouble!

Good Trading

boris said...

Dear Ralph,
There is no doubt that institutions were selling the rally and that is the reason for prices coming down.

You see, when institutions , anybody are selling, they must do it fast as the distribution times are compressed these days ( market started sellof immediately as all our MDS systems lined up to sell). On the other hand buying must be done over time as not to be noticed. Institutions try very hard to buy as clandesinly as possible(:-

Our pressure charts and breakout counts pick that up very well.

So, from here we can not really conclude if the down turn of Monday will continue or not. Which it has not yet.

None of this says that we could not reach lower lows than November. But none of this says that we must!

Good Trading

Vin said...

Boris,

There is speculation that China might weaken the RMB in order to boost its exports.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/3546471/Chinese-economy-1930s-beggar-thy-neighbour-fears-as-China-devalues.html

This wouldn't go against SEEFUTURE's predictions of a stronger trending dollar, but it might be worth keeping an eye out for signs of such manipulation.

daveo said...

Would someone please email the link to the new site to me please ?

dpotoole63@gmail.com

many thanks, daveo

boris said...

Dear VIn,
Please search if I do not remember correctly, but DXY does not contain Youan/Renminbi as a part.

57% of it is EURO
and 14% or so GBP and 9% Jpy and lesser amonts of SEK and SWISSY and CAD.

SO, SEEFUTURE will not reflect that
Also, we have a clear prediction of RENMINBI graph and until proven wrong, it should be viewed as viable road for REMBINBI

Good Trading My Dear Friend Vin

boris said...

Dear Dave

Dear Dave this is the site.

Please see email I send you
GOod Trading My Dear Friend

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

Hello Dear Boris.....

are there charts available for yuan specifically?

xerxes

boris said...

Dear Xexes,
I can send you REMBINBI long term chars and APs,
Actually, I will probably place that and 10 Notes in BIGPICTURE3 this weekend

Good Trading