Thursday, November 20, 2008

Thanks For Being With Us


Sopitalists are out in full force, this down move in the markets is very well orchestrated by their machines of destruction , also refereed as trading , machines. This is SOPITALISM in it full force, scaring you. Hang On and look at numbers. They are all in front of you.
Pay special attention to ES, SFC,JYC, SKF, SPX, QQQQ, BKX
Please be alert, this could be a big turn day, but then again may not. Need to watch out.
Please be warned, Things will happen too fast. Do not expect me to provide Intra APs in time, I may, but could be too late. Please use daily
No Market outlook today, the first infliction point will come between 10:05 and 12:05. Most likely one of these times will be low.
They play a two dog attack JPY was first, next could be CHF going lower again and then perhaps as one two punch they will run them in tandem ( JPY up and CHF down to scare the hell out of everybody) . The SUCKERS never sleep.
Yes watch JPY ( the SUNSET country currrency, or is it sunrise - well, was once)
Lost all screens,

769.90 761.30 747.32 730.00 es 806.20 814.80 828.73 846.10

93.819 93.489 92.952 92.288 jpy 95.211 95.541 96.075 96.743
25.940 25.760 25.468 25.105 qqqq 26.700 26.880 27.171 27.535

736.11 732.76 727.31 720.56 xau 746.89 750.24 755.67 762.44

81 comments:

John said...

Boris

good morning

old john

diesel said...

Looks like another good trading day. Lets hope the daily APs get elected today!

boris said...

Good Morning Dear JOhn
and Good Trading My Dear Friend

boris said...

Dear Damien,
Yes, Indeed

Good Tradng

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

Hell Dear Boris...

And Good day everyone....

The SNB was busy slashing and burning today Boris....

Cash much be better than "certificates of confiscation" now....

xerxes

John said...

Boris,

Best guess- will yen turn first

thanx old john

boris said...

Dear John,
Likely very, likely, watch the number mY Dear Friend

Good Trading.
Be careful they could run it 4th and even fifth (HUH!!!!!)

KB said...

My work calls for BOTTOM today.

Best

KB said...

To clarify....I watch the options market and it suggests that 'Boys' have sold (rather than bought) options during the last two weeks, suggesting they expect market volatility to start diminishing (as opposed to buying options with incresing volatility). This is observation based on implied volatility over last 18 years.

Good Luck all.

boris said...

Dear KB,
Thanks

Good Trading

KB said...

Furthermore....the only time in 18 year history where I found anomoly type situation (where market continued down after such option selling event) is back in 1990 where the option sellers had to wait extra week for their rewards....as it relates to todays action, we have same situation where they are actually a week into their BET without rewards...I am sure they are ANXIOUS.

boris said...

Please pay attention

Es intra first second and third overlap the ES daily second and third , Powerful, very pwerful combination

Good Trading

KB said...

Just who are the 'boys'....well, I am not sure, but mysteriously they have never not benefited from their 'setup' (like now) in 19 years. I hope they have not lost control this time :-)

boris said...

BKX prints as low as 38.
TOO close to the DO or DIE post.

boris said...

keep you belts thight, looks like we go for it now ES is looking down hard

boris said...

As I told you now they switched to CHF dog

boris said...

could be a lift off
tight stops please

boris said...

qqqq
pwerful print 26 low!!!

lagscrew said...

Boris

I jumped in drys this am. at 4.17

what a ride so far--printing 4.48 now

boris said...

Dear Lag,
Good Luck
Good Trading

Has anybody noticed the price and time,

Low was exactly 10:05 on currencies and just bit after stocks. And the price, Oh Price! if it holds this 777 area, it would be a real BOING!

Good Trading

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

The futures needs to take out 813 with a venegance to get the shorts to run for cover. That is the globex high. waldo.

John said...

Boris,

I noticed it- did ok

old john

thanx

John said...

Waldo,

how are you doing?

old john

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

Dear Boris,
just checked a few #'s on ESZ:

From Friday's high to today's low was about 144 points.
From today's low to today's high (so far) was 34 points (.236)
Over head we have 38.2% at 829
and 50% at 846.
Think you may be right Waldo.If we start moving above 808-813 we could have a squeeze into OPEX
And Boris..DECENNIAL is the word for the day. C cubed to you.
CALM,COOL AND COLLECTED.
Oh, one more thing
There is a new currency ETF right up your alley.
XRU = RUSSIAN RUBLE.
Comment I read was that "it tracks
oil like no other currency".
Good trading to all.
Klaatu
Good trading

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

Just took another position in sso and uwm this morning. Timing on sso was a little off but ok on uwm. Should have waited on the 10:05 time frame. I just don't know whether 777 will hold. would love to see 813 taken out today. waldo

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

Looks like they are building a right shoulder on a inverted head and shoulder pattern on a 15 minute chart. Inverted head and shoulder patterns usually is a continous pattern and we all know what that is. waldo.

boris said...

THis one could go to 12:15 +-10 for local , bottom. The morning bottom must hold or we are in a lot more trouble today

Vin said...

Thanks for the update, Boris.

boris said...

Dear Vin,
No problem,
As my dearest friend John would say
another bus comes here all the time. We just need to know where the stop is(:-

Good Trading

boris said...

The bus may have a temporary rest at 27.55 for qqqq , the fifth IHAP

John said...

Boris,

sayings like that come with age.

old john

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

Big ugly sell candle on the es 15 minute, maybe they can reverse it and take out the top. sure don't like the looks of it. What is your take Boris? Is the bottom in for now and can we get more than a 1/2 day rally. Thanks, waldo.

boris said...

Dear Waldo,
We just came from the decennial support. If all we can manage is a half day rally, then we should pack our backpacks and head for the hills(:-

Serious, almost(:-

Good Trading

boris said...

But, But Dear Waldo,
I always advocate to know where the exits are, right(:-
You know first thing I check is an exit, right?

So, if you did not yet, make a mental note where your possible exit is for armagedon action(:-

Good Trading

boris said...

Having, that said,
I do have some , possible, meandering here , just around and before 14:00 ( but if the market is really strong it should horizonatl it(:-) till then and go strong into close

Good Trading

Tooltime said...

Boris,
I am a rare blogger but have to take the opportunity to thank you for everything you do. I am currently not a man of wealth but would have lost the nest egg over the past month without you involved with trading. "Thanks for being with US"

Kevin

boris said...

Dear Kevin,
YOU made my day and so do all wonderful subscribers and readers that come here to rely on us to help them.

It is precisely those people with not much wealth that you and other subscribers enable to have the SEAT at the Financial table, with your generous subscription and support of my work.

I whould thank you for making my work possible and in your face, I should thank every subscriber ( current and/or past) who have made it possible for us to exist.

I could not do it without you.

1) i NEED YOU TO INSPIRE ME. i AM A PERFORMER AT HEART AND COULD NOT DO IT IN EMPTRY THEATER
2) i NEED YOU TO SUPPORT THE MONETARY EXPENSES THAT i HAVE TO KEEP THIS THING GOING.

sO, THERE!

tHANK YOU dEAR kEKVIN and thank you and GOD BLESS YOU ALL

Good Trading

boris said...

Dear Readers,Subscriber,
OUr work is never done.
It is early to celebrate, things look good, but they could change past. Be careful and watch the exists.

Stops in place and/or mental and, but not too close, should be able to give the breakeven chance.

Good Trading

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

I swear to GOD our politicians has 2 brains, one is lost and the other is out hunting for it. waldo

boris said...

Dear Waldo,
Good One,
Congrats

Good Trading My Dear Friend

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

You can tell another politican is talking. The Bastards needs to keep there mouth shut. waldo.

Vin said...

Boris,

some currencies are going nuts (USD/CHF). reason to be extra watchful with regard to the forecast?

boris said...

This could be a fake break down
be alert, but to not comitt too much

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

Boris, what is causing such big swings in currencies. They move more in a day than they use to in a year. Thanks, waldo.

boris said...

increased likelyhood this is fake,
because the CHF bounced from the supposed AP

As long as no new lows in CHF, this was a fake to accomodate that AP

D said...

Oil leads the way folks...just watch that.

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

Looks like I was right, a 1/2 day rally. This market is sick and ready to die. waldo.

lagscrew said...

out of drys--fight another day--small loss

Aboot-Bull said...

Dear Boris,

:-(


A-B

Vishal said...

OMG Boris, I feel like crying, not because Im losing money, I actually made a little bit today on UYG.

A moment of silence for our American way of life, it is changing forever. May God have mercy on your soul. Amen.

John said...

Vishal,

Consumer society with the suburban shopping malls will become a rarity.

Everything will change. Small cars , not because the cost of gas, but that is all the average person can afford.

Read Empire of Debt- great book
old john

Vishal said...

Dear Boris and all, Do u think we go to next AP on USO since we are now below the one we were thinking about ? And look at BKX, it may get to next AP today or tom itself.

boris said...

Well,
Looks like we will make the BKX 34 after all.
The question is do we stop there?

Now, We must look at levels below the 777

Good Trading

boris said...

How about they played this one too cool.

743 SPX is the THIRD ANNUAL AP

We bounced from there. It is customery for "them" to confuse people.

If this failes we are looking DECENIAL below 500 ( anybody for that?)

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

Well for a investor they sure are taking a beating today. I decided I would be an investor today instead of a trader. Bad mistake on my part. The good news is we just witnessed a capulation in my opinion. waldo.

boris said...

I would suggest that it is not a bad idea to test this market with stops just under 739

boris said...

Remember also,
There was a big phsychological demage inflicted onto people by going below the lows of 2002.

So, that may really have shaken even the biggest believers in the market.

Remember , we are experimentalists. I made money today, As marekt tests so do I. But there is a core Investment priciple of asset allocation and that does the other half of the job

Good Trading

boris said...

Folk, market is like the wrestling match.

As the championship goes on one must make the strategic decision across those matches and also the tactical decisions for ever match intself.

So, we picked the bottom, I hope made the money, or added to asset allocation if you needed to.

But the big picture must be kept in mind.

Think about it this way...

Say Stocks Market goes to zero, do not you think than everything else will go there. Example.

In Japan interest rates are almost zero, as is the stocks market.

SO, you want to live in house, it is free, because your mortgage costs are practically zero. You see how cheap everything is ? and the real estate is declining for 20 years in a row, now.

There are more un(real) estate companies failing in TOKYO today then in USA after 20 years of the top / depresseion there.

So, Please consider stocks that pay 4 , 5 ,6 , 2, 3 % and are safe as incredible bargains.

I hope you understand the drift

Good trading

Vishal said...

401K .... 201K .... 51K here we come. Really sad :( for all my friends that are losing their shirt. And this includes my "rich" friends who think they are smarter than everyone else, just because they had the good fortune to make it and be a part of this once great nation.

Maybe, someday, we will learn to not take things for granted and actually put in some effort to safeguard our "freedoms". But, I have my doubts.

My landlady is at the door of foreclosure, yet she refuses to get of her duff, get a job (she is divorced, 50 years old). All she does is waste money on gas, driving around all day harassing her ex, harassing her son, calling people on the phone. She complains that she is not getting a handout. She also complains that she cannot sleep at night. She actually called me at 5am in the morning twice, to check the weather.

I asked her if she had any idea why her home is in trouble. She did a refinance with Countrywide and blew through the money in the past couple of years (no job).

I tried to educate her, asked her to call/write to the guy who wanted her vote. She doesnt even know his name, lol. What a joke. This woman did not even bother to vote.

I see this "indifferent" attitude everywhere around me. I know its Schadefreude, but people like this need to be taught a lesson. Unfortunately, all the people that do care are going to have to suffer as well.

Forgive me for the long, boring post folks.

God Bless America (we really need it now)

Vin said...

Oh my goodness. For the sake of everyone, I hope that people treat this as a capitulative cleansing event. We've been thrown back 10 years in time, but this is in no way the end of the world.

Boris, if your strong divvy companies can survive this mess (as I expect them many of them to), they will be paying out so much more in 30-50 years!

boris said...

Dear Vin,
If these companies do not survive, then there is no USA, or perhaps world, period.

Of course, they can cut dividend too, but then you see the stocks should be worth more, as the expenses have just been reduced. Of course, we are talking about companies without which USA can not really exist as a country.

My portfolio is not just DVY, it has too much financials to my taste

I gave the list of stocks in my email to all subscribers.

For example KMP, this is the company with largest pipeline ( gas , oil) in the world. Just to get permission to build something similar would be impossible today. There is no way we can live without cooking gas and shower either ( well, perhaps(:- ).

In any case. Pays 8.5% divident. If she goes, so do we all.

These are kind of things I send email about.

AT&T if she goes so do we, belive me.

FPL, if she goes so do we.

JPM, if she goes so do we.

You subscribers have the list.

Healthy levels of cash must be kept around for all seasons as well.

That is all you can do.

BEsides having fun trading(:-

Good Tradnig

Vin said...

Most definitely, Boris.

I'm going after your list divvy stocks with my buy-and-hold account. (Primarily BGR because its a fund, and, depression or no, energy ought to be a huge issue in a 30-50 year timeframe.) JPM is one that I hadn't thought of, however!

What a day! Thanks for everything, Boris. I think that I am getting overly reliant on APs. :)

boris said...

Dear Subscribers,
I placed not about CHF in the psite.

Note, that all these AP's being hit ( ANNUAL) ins SPX, CHF , near in BKX etc. We must consider the capitulation process has possibly takne place today.
Does not mean buy and forget, but it means the market needs and is worth to be tested for upside.
Good Trading

Vin said...

Boris,

When you have the time, would you be able to put a list of annual APs on p-site? I don't see them. Are they marked on the big picture graphs? (Red numbers?)

boris said...

Dear Vin,
They are.

Please understand they are not to be taken, as precisely as given. The most important fact is to look at the AP horisontal red lines and see them in bunch and take a 20-50 range from that bunch.

They ( SOPITALISTS) will always take the price not where all of us expect it. That is the way it should be.

Somebody must be holding back at the bottom.

That is the reason why all FIBOS are violated all the time, to reverse quckly after everyone was stopped out(:-

Not too many people know APs, but the trades do, so, you get similar phenomena with APS.

But You must, know the trading and then bunching of these points, which create powerful turn zone.

Good Trading

John said...

Boris

Bought a small amount of Qs at close.

old john

Vin said...

Ok! Thanks for the clarification, Boris.

boris said...

Dear John,
Thanks,
It may prove to be a very prudent step

Good Trading

John said...

Boris,

Small position, what do I lose? coffee money
Gain could be ok on percentage basis.

I have an offer on my house tomorrow, first one in 18 months on the market. Any where near what I am asking, Arizona here I come


old john

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

John,

For your sake, I hope it happens before those cold winds start blowing off of Lake Michigan. It's been a few years but I remember.

Ralph

Vin said...

Awesome, John. :) Hearing about that sort of stuff helps to clear the abundant dreariness that the media keeps cooking up.

boris said...

Dear Ralph,
I join you wishing John and his wife to finally accomplish what he wanted to do for a long time...

Good Luck Dear John

John said...

Ralph.
snow flurries today. Last winter was brutal. Lots and lots of snow and I ( almost 62 in a few days) have many, many neighbors who are much older than me. I spent hours and hours last winter snow blowing and shoveling their walks and driveways. It was brutal on me.

old john

John said...

Boris,

thanx

everyone else

thanx

I hope it works out- as with the market- time will tell

old john

Aboot-Bull said...

U.S 10y trys 3.01% !!!!!

A-B

boris said...

Dear A-B
This certainly invalidates my call as absolute Interest rate bottom on the long side of the BONDS, but I hope that not by much.

I just do not thing we are going into JAPanese kind of depression, but if we do not start rising soon, like tomorrow in the stock market, I would have to reconsider, the Generational bottom in Interest rates call and find a next place and time where this may happen. The gap, though, thells me that it will be filled and perhaps very soon

Good Trading

John said...

Boris

Looking at the TBT for a small amount?
Talk to you in the morning. thanx

old john

Vin said...

Hmm.. CHF is getting weaker against many currencies tonight. 10-yr and JPY are calming down on the other hand. Is there a reason for CHF getting sold?

boris said...

Dear Vin,
CHF is getting strong at this point.
It has hit 1.2285 last night, nearly perfect Second AHAP.
Now it is about 40 points higher and JPY is getting weaker, so the spread JPY/CHF is getting weak.
Weaker Dollar is what we need for market to keep moving higher from here on

But we know this will be a difficultr journey , at least, until mid next year(:- , Right?

Good Trading

Vin said...

Yes, it's much better now. When I wrote the message, it was hugging that AHAP which it so loved during this afternoon's equity collapse. Such crazy action these days!

John's QQQQs might work out nicely in the very short term. :)

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