Friday, September 19, 2008

3.24=3.80 ,4.09=4.40 Interest Rate Math


Dear Reader, remember these numbers? Yes TNX bottomed at 3.24 and TYX bottomed at 4.09. And now they are 3.80 (20% higher in 3 days???) and 4.40 respectively. God! if I only knew I was so powerful(:- , just couple days ago I Boris Chikvashvili ( son of Chikva) have announced to the entire world that USA and world interest rates have bottomed after 27 year of decline and will be rising in zigzag for next 50 year? And now see what happened.

INCREDIBLE! INCREDIBLE! INCREDIBLE!

33 comments:

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

With interest rates rising that should be good for savers don't you think and will it cause deflation or inflation. thanks for your comment. waldo

boris said...

Dear Waldo,
I told a while ago, do not cry after the CD rates being low. Higher interest rates are coming. Cash will be good for a change, if someone can keep it!

Good Trading

John said...

Boris,

I remembered and acted. Bought a very small amount of TBT. Doing ok.

old john

boris said...

Dear John,
YOu surprise me.
Nothing escapes you .

YOu are like your character COLUMBO , a spunge(:-

Love you My Dear Friend

Good Trading

John said...

Boris,

In retrospect- SDP may have been a better play.

old john

boris said...

Dear John,
Thanks a lot
You are not only helping me(:-

We are both helping thouse out there who need to know

Enjoy
Good Trading

John said...

SDP is something to watch with this interest rate call. Should have been obvious- cant get them all.

old john

jimww said...

Dear All this is the way I see interest rates , all the bail outs from the SWF are demanding between 8% and 12% for short term loans , they are not stupid this is the prevailing INFLATION rate right now! The inflation rate MAY come down in the future but I agree with Boris higher rates are comeing long term , but what I am scared of is these crime bosses are seting up the USA EMPIRE for GERMAN WEIMARE INFLATION in the not so distant FUTURE .Fear and trembling JIM.

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

Yes I have been using 9 and 11 month cd's so I can get higher interest later on. Thanks for telling us a while back and I believe it was me you told that to. waldo.

Wanderer said...

Dear Boris,
Regarding the precious metals, you said that 15% rallies don't happen in bull markets.
What do you think of the 12.5% rally in the emini SPs?
In less than 24 hours no less:)!
Hope nobody here is bloodied too badly.
Waiting for a slower bus:)
Good trading to all.

Bert

boris said...

Dear Waldo
Thanks for remembering
GOod Trading

boris said...

Dear Jim
What can I say.
You said it nicely

CRIME BOSSES

GOod trading

boris said...

Dear Bert,
Yes, I know what you mean.

I was going to say that too, but
forgot(:-
Remember the problems with memory?

Good Trading

Wanderer said...

Dear Boris,
No. I had forgotten (HA, HA):)!
A great weekend to all.

Bert

boris said...

Dear Bert,
This is embarrassing!

Now I forgot.
What is HA, HA ?

Good Trading

boris said...

Yes, And YOu Dear Bert,
Have a wonderful weekend too
Good Trading

Wanderer said...

Dear Boris,
HA HA is laughter. I was trying to indicate humour while answering your question (ie. I had forgotten the problems with memory - get it?).
Difficult to be funny in print sometimes:)
All the best to you, my friend.

Bert

Wanderer said...

Dear Boris,
Of course, you may have been joking back!
Then the laugh (so to speak) is on me:)!!!

Bert

lagscrew said...

Boris

been gone for a couple hrs.
do you think a etf like SDP--down utilities

boris said...

Dear Bert,
Just laughing back(:-

Enjoy

GOod Trading

boris said...

Well Dear Lag,
We have been EYEing the UTILITIES index for bear market and I think it is in the bear market. Rest is just a master of technique of trading. At appropriate point it would be great to buy. Which could be by TUESDAY

good trading

jimww said...

Dear Boris For the people who donot know SWF stands for sovern wealth funds, ie China Japan Russia Arabs others. This is why I am so upset the crime bosses won today they will now inflate over time and the young people of America will suffer and will never be able to keep up with the comeing inflation or the poor of the world, all we had to do as Americans was suffer a MINI DEPRESSION , balance the books , make the ruler eletes suffer a little ,Japan Arabs Russia China etc. Now the future for 95% of the people of the world is inflation. I just wanted to see truth and justice shine for a day . Jim

lagscrew said...

Guess I should have read blog first--it was already mentioned

guess we are thinking alike here

John said...

Lagscrew,

You are a good teacher

old john

illiac64 said...

Hello Boris,

I'm a longtime lurker at your blog.

I agree that rates have bottomed. There is way too much risk in American assets for investors to pay such low premiums.

lagscrew said...

THX John

Like Boris I hope people here can use my info

Here is some more---after today most of my indicators will be near the top if we hold most of todays gains (Im guessing here)

I plan to wait at least till Monday to see how this shakes out. I beleive this will be short lived as nothing has changed with earnings Unimployment ect.

I am also spending a lot on my house so at least I can enjoy profits before they inflate my retirement into nothing

boris said...

Dear Illiac64
Welcome to our shores.
Well, There is one thing to think about interest rates should turn and are too low etc etc.

It is the other to annaounce it on the day it happened, which I hope we have done.

Now, not bragging.

I just seem to have been able to do these kind of things more times and I myself care to remember. On all things Silver,Interest Rates, Bank Indexes , General Market , OIL DOllar( what a call)....

SO, I am starting to believe there is something in my blood that seems to have the pulse of the markets HALF figured.

In any case, we do really welcome you here and please chime any any tme if find it useful

GOod Trading

boris said...

Dear Lag,
People find your participation most interesting and profitable.

I must admint that due to my administrative functions, you almost make up for my time that is lost for the similar activities.

With all my heart , I support my readers in Loving and Appreciating you presense here.

ENjoy My Dear Friend
Good Trading

אנטי-סופיטליסט said...

Dear Boris,

It looks like FXY has made an island and reversed. Nice call.
BC was an impressive call in July.

Gold had a rally for 4 days in August, same in September. Could we have 2 more days in the SP before a break?

Have a relaxing weekend.

Howard

boris said...

Dear Howard,
GOod OBservations.
I did think Tuesday maybe the destination for highs in the market. Good Trading
You too my Dear Friend
Have a nice weekend

Hopper said...

Hi Boris and Friends,
Thanks for all you inputs. I can't always trade, but I been scaling a bit with the MDS lately.
Cheers

Wanderer said...

Dear Boris,
I have the first leg down in bonds ending
Tuesday +/-1. Would match up nicely with a stock top of some sort.
The beasts must be getting hungry:)
Thanks again for all your efforts.
Do something fun this weekend:)

Bert

boris said...

Dear Hopper,
Dear Bert,

Thanks a lot for updates.

Good Trading to you
My Dear Friends